NBA · resolved market
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71f1579dd7319855b1fe4242d1bea3fe85ef93ff6434b8ced0e931ee5233c496
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7e5…f6fcbacked Yes | 7c | 2,857$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Yes | 3c | 1,752$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa692…8ec9backed Yes | 11c | 1,273$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 4c | 1,250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 10c | 1,218$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.97 | 221 | 40.3%89 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed Yes | 11c | 1,054$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 1,027$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 89 | 4.5%4 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed Yes | 13c | 907$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…bb1dbacked Yes | 12c | 896$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 11c | 894$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…f376backed Yes | 11c | 885$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 6c | 869.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…ccecbacked Yes | 12c | 848$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…3191backed Yes | 11c | 765$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed Yes | 12c | 754$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…35bebacked Yes | 11c | 737$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed Yes | 13c | 731$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9b…b6aabacked No | 74c | 715.29$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.08 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…0c03backed Yes | 12c | 628$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed Yes | 14c | 599$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7b80backed Yes | 5c | 592.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed Yes | 14c | 585$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed Yes | 32c | 565$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f5…9dd3backed Yes | 11c | 552$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…696fbacked Yes | 12c | 528$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed Yes | 38c | 520$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…d8e3backed Yes | 11c | 518.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93c0…b919backed Yes | 31c | 506$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8153backed Yes | 11c | 502$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…d215backed Yes | 13c | 484$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a8…9b29backed No | 63c | 479$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.94 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Yes | 42c | 472$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 25c | 463.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.46 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 12c | 441$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…1598backed Yes | 34c | 436$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.24 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes | 13c | 424$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Yes | 11c | 407$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked No | 51c | 405$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.45 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes | 38c | 396$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked No | 62c | 381$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed Yes | 11c | 371$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked No | 78c | 365$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6f…6890backed No | 75c | 361$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 13c | 360$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes | 12c | 358$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…7699backed Yes | 12c | 350$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked Yes | 11c | 349$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked Yes | 40c | 344$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed Yes | 11c | 343$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 44c | 336.08$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.83 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 13c | 329$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed No | 46c | 320.17$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.59 | 456 | 47.8%218 W · 238 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked Yes | 13c | 314$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed Yes | 13c | 310$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…01e3backed No | 52c | 284$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +60%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed Yes | 13c | 276$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 5c | 274.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed No | 66c | 272$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 11c | 268$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 40c | 267.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Yes | 12c | 261$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed No | 68c | 260$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…ea4ebacked Yes | 11c | 251$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes | 13c | 250$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…1dcfbacked No | 69c | 241$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…3c25backed Yes | 25c | 240.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed No | 60c | 227$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked No | 58c | 219$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea45…e748backed Yes | 15c | 211$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes | 32c | 205$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked Yes | 13c | 203$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +24%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 5cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…e68dbacked Yes | 55c | 197$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 193.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 188.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked No | 75c | 183$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes | 40c | 179$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed Yes | 11c | 168$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed Yes | 11c | 167$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed No | 69c | 157$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326e…c7b9backed Yes | 20c | 155$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed No | 51c | 145$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…e1efbacked Yes | 49c | 145$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 16c | 143.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked Yes | 11c | 139$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked No | 45c | 133$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.15 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…a794backed Yes | 11c | 128$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 127.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked Yes | 11c | 123$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 9c | 115.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…1435backed Yes | 24c | 115.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 29c | 113.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…415ebacked Yes | 25c | 112$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…8f4bbacked No | 68c | 111$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…be9fbacked No | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…b901backed No | 73c | 109$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa232…175fbacked Yes | 55c | 109$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…4569backed Yes | 11c | 109$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…c9f4backed No | 69c | 108$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?this page
- Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?Yes won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.