TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,198
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,890

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,198 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf7e5…f6fcbacked Yes7c2,857$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.35205%1 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid-78.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Yes3c1,752$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.491,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa692…8ec9backed Yes11c1,273$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.03633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes4c1,250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2521243.4%92 W · 120 L+9.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes10c1,218$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9722140.3%89 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a4…aa57backed Yes11c1,054$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.941442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes8c1,027$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.15894.5%4 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4984…69d2backed Yes13c907$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.912937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca36…bb1dbacked Yes12c896$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.522045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes11c894$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.343033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7086…f376backed Yes11c885$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.351118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-62.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes6c869.3$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2211723.9%28 W · 89 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcae4…ccecbacked Yes12c848$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.76862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5884…3191backed Yes11c765$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.152744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad46…0918backed Yes12c754$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.481428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xffff…35bebacked Yes11c737$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.071827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf528…4441backed Yes13c731$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.032437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd9b…b6aabacked No74c715.29$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.083148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a16…0c03backed Yes12c628$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.361163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39dd…1bb5backed Yes14c599$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.862020%4 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-58.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x57ee…7b80backed Yes5c592.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda64…9bc5backed Yes14c585$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.91631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee9e…efb7backed Yes32c565$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.82653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+55.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48f5…9dd3backed Yes11c552$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.721330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc886…696fbacked Yes12c528$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick38cpaid+30.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fae…6853backed Yes38c520$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1992948.3%14 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fe6…d8e3backed Yes11c518.52$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.041353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93c0…b919backed Yes31c506$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.861163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc758…8153backed Yes11c502$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.221546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x365f…d215backed Yes13c484$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.181650%8 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+21.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2a8…9b29backed No63c479$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.941833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf51b…bf74backed Yes42c472$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.242441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes25c463.88$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.4618246.7%85 W · 97 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…f285backed Yes12c441$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.922828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbd…1598backed Yes34c436$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.241833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes13c424$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.123246.9%15 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dd8…757abacked Yes11c407$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.771136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…ee5abacked No51c405$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.452147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bbb…5c80backed Yes38c396$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.482429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-54%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfbec…8dccbacked No62c381$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.781850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+66.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2a8…2a44backed Yes11c371$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.811457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ee…5adebacked No78c365$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.52050%10 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b6f…6890backed No75c361$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x848d…76c1backed Yes13c360$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.83145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes12c358$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.961957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+42.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4582…7699backed Yes12c350$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb85b…77dbbacked Yes11c349$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.393737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xca67…703cbacked Yes40c344$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.61435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa457…1a93backed Yes11c343$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.731560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+50.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes44c336.08$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.831,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb547…a237backed Yes13c329$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.772857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed No46c320.17$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5945647.8%218 W · 238 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5829…e46bbacked Yes13c314$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.821752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x169a…55e4backed Yes13c310$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.31145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9322…01e3backed No52c284$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+60%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf955…bb33backed Yes13c276$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.882030%6 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes5c274.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2615010%15 W · 135 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe539…5345backed No66c272$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.482250%11 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed45…929dbacked Yes11c268$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.482937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes40c267.96$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7622041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x367b…48dabacked Yes12c261$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.322646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c7…f199backed No68c260$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.22231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48b2…ea4ebacked Yes11c251$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.611637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04d4…be7cbacked Yes13c250$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.52740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xac45…1dcfbacked No69c241$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.714100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+80.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x090c…3c25backed Yes25c240.81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae18…1132backed No60c227$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.82842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f6…595cbacked No58c219$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.981233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-48.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea45…e748backed Yes15c211$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.651533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes32c205$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.62544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0cb…ab6abacked Yes13c203$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.391421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203611.1%4 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202810.7%3 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+39.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e46…e68dbacked Yes55c197$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.352343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes8c193.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8660834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes13c188.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.022,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc713…891fbacked No75c183$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.753259.4%19 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes40c179$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.62445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadc9…5856backed Yes11c168$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.482552%13 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x090a…cd55backed Yes11c167$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.372339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa44b…eb27backed No69c157$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.672751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x326e…c7b9backed Yes20c155$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe36c…a6f0backed No51c145$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.052161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58d4…e1efbacked Yes49c145$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes16c143.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.98742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4559…f02bbacked Yes11c139$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.292733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4faa…fecfbacked No45c133$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.152951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2232…a794backed Yes11c128$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.08616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-63%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes16c127.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.821,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39be…5e7bbacked Yes11c123$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.532630.8%8 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-1.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes9c115.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.362,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x086a…1435backed Yes24c115.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.636319%12 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes29c113.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.768020%16 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54af…415ebacked Yes25c112$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadd8…8f4bbacked No68c111$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.571346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c4c…be9fbacked No45c110$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.52369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2971…b901backed No73c109$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.431942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa232…175fbacked Yes55c109$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.951258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+63.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2bb…4569backed Yes11c109$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.991225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d26…c9f4backed No69c108$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.481250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.