AI · resolved market
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x501c8c904567ae680bb101a055e5163efd49062d5866aa13eaaae8d9b0c6d457
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e9c…d1bebacked Yes | 23c | 1,175$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.25 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 35c | 1,142$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.02 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d03…ef8ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,053$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 3c | 970.8$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 150 | 2.7%4 W · 146 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 7c | 968.5$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.37 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked Yes | 14c | 912$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…8234backed Yes | 15c | 820$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…0217backed Yes | 15c | 806$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.9 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked No | 77c | 797$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x926a…3b1ebacked Yes | 12c | 793$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…ee62backed No | 77c | 780$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 27c | 778$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…d6f1backed No | 78c | 699$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked Yes | 18c | 684$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…f5ebbacked Yes | 18c | 546$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed Yes | 19c | 498$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.62 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6f41backed Yes | 23c | 489$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.47 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed Yes | 15c | 487$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes | 26c | 476$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…38d2backed No | 74c | 476$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…74b0backed Yes | 26c | 460$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…4d86backed No | 74c | 450$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 19c | 412$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.28 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9f9ebacked Yes | 27c | 411$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.97 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4f…3b33backed No | 73c | 411$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.97 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…d620backed Yes | 18c | 379$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed Yes | 18c | 370$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed Yes | 27c | 353$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.31 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…019dbacked No | 73c | 353$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…cfe8backed Yes | 15c | 351$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c19…77cdbacked Yes | 27c | 344$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…10fcbacked No | 73c | 344$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 8c | 291.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3684…9669backed Yes | 23c | 291$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked No | 77c | 263$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.49 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…b75ebacked Yes | 19c | 256$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +96%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…bd74backed Yes | 18c | 253$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 73c | 244$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 36c | 203.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.98 | 207 | 31.9%66 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 17c | 181$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 301 | 27.2%82 W · 219 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…115ebacked Yes | 19c | 177$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x541a…1740backed Yes | 15c | 163$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 15c | 160$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked Yes | 12c | 152$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f8…6c22backed No | 73c | 141$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 131$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed Yes | 12c | 128$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x326e…c7b9backed Yes | 12c | 117$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…34e0backed Yes | 12c | 116$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…0137backed No | 77c | 115$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…3793backed Yes | 18c | 114.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 68c | 106$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1605…6610backed Yes | 28c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…d647backed No | 74c | 76.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…cca3backed No | 36c | 75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27b…3966backed No | 36c | 75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…236abacked No | 36c | 75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7c…0d26backed Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -10.8wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…709dbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.10 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?this page
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.50 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.75 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.00 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.20 (LOW) by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?Yes won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?No won
- Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $4.00 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.