CS2 · resolved market
Will Team Falcons qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e5dc595255b91a8940257b9847dd4b34e4d9d2d35ad252fada56e235e2de80d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,666 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb9f…ee38backed Yes | 66c | 1,419$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6007…9553backed Yes | 66c | 1,408$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked No | 34c | 978$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326e…c7b9backed No | 34c | 969$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…83e5backed No | 34c | 880$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 43c | 88.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked No | 57c | 81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c1…6512backed Yes | 43c | 81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 68c | 73.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…b3a8backed Yes | 75c | 53.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 32c | 47.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3da…fff3backed Yes | 77c | 26.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 49c | 21.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Falcons qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?this page
- Will 9z qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Aurora qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Furia qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Mouz qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will NRG qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Natus Vincere qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Parivision qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Team Spirit qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will The MongolZ qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Tyloo qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Vitality qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.