CS2 · resolved market
Will Team Spirit qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfa52dd528b23760e77daf5e4f72421b701d903e637bfa9a503bffa4301d998c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,302 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed No | 55c | 2,378$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074.01 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked No | 48c | 2,091$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked No | 34c | 1,267$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.17 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…3213backed Yes | 52c | 1,191$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed Yes | 76c | 1,098$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…d6f1backed Yes | 52c | 958$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2756…42efbacked Yes | 52c | 855$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 41c | 825.33$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.47 | 160 | 23.8%38 W · 122 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…44ffbacked Yes | 52c | 787$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24a…fc69backed No | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed No | 48c | 591$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…41f6backed No | 48c | 509$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae3…6b12backed Yes | 62c | 473$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.03 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dd…e4a3backed Yes | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed No | 24c | 380$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…eadcbacked No | 24c | 369$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed No | 24c | 349$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed No | 48c | 272$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 55c | 246.57$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.54 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed Yes | 41c | 207$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed No | 33c | 177.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 22c | 116$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked No | 55c | 103.11$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.07 | 277 | 49.5%137 W · 140 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…cfe8backed Yes | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0285…59d6backed Yes | 52c | 92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed Yes | 52c | 84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed No | 51c | 66.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 368 | 46.7%172 W · 196 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 40c | 61.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed No | 26c | 50.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…050abacked No | 30c | 39.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +229.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb37…0c78backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad3…faa6backed No | 54c | 33.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +12.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…532dbacked Yes | 66c | 31.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d47…e855backed Yes | 68c | 27.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 66c | 22.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…b431backed Yes | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc98…f61dbacked Yes | 79c | 16.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a58…5c26backed Yes | 74c | 13.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Spirit qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?this page
- Will 9z qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Aurora qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Furia qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Mouz qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will NRG qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Natus Vincere qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Parivision qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Team Falcons qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will The MongolZ qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Tyloo qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Vitality qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.