CS2 · resolved market
Will The MongolZ qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26cb4c9a8466020a025d39a3b67315516dad0ac4a37ed7be103c09d49a851aad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,657 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33e2…e1babacked Yes | 29c | 1,509$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6f41backed Yes | 29c | 1,446$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +288.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23c1…704bbacked No | 71c | 1,337$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed No | 71c | 1,292$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…391abacked No | 70c | 587$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd70e…0ac1backed Yes | 30c | 567$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked Yes | 30c | 562$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed No | 70c | 542$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…b550backed No | 71c | 326$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Yes | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed No | 59c | 92.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ee…e28cbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed No | 40c | 83.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…532dbacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7713…daf0backed Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 130 | 60%78 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 35c | 33.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb37…0c78backed Yes | 64c | 31.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c0…4731backed No | 42c | 31.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked No | 64c | 30.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16a…33a1backed Yes | 72c | 29.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The MongolZ qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?this page
- Will 9z qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Aurora qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Furia qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Mouz qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will NRG qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Natus Vincere qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Parivision qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Team Falcons qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Team Spirit qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Tyloo qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Vitality qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.