CS2 · resolved market
Will Mouz qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce5814d7f49d866ef8049c2fc48af8ab64f3fd86f4d303d05289e538c5642dbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,307 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcda8…2624backed Yes | 41c | 1,224$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…fe97backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35d…632abacked Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…7d16backed Yes | 41c | 1,219$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…2eafbacked Yes | 41c | 1,219$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff9…d607backed No | 56c | 1,116$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x104e…cf2cbacked Yes | 44c | 1,116$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ea…ebabbacked No | 59c | 1,020$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 955.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x456c…d477backed No | 59c | 847$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…777fbacked No | 59c | 847$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5363…b782backed No | 59c | 847$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a1…c2acbacked No | 59c | 847$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481e…9df9backed No | 59c | 847$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0551…3f9dbacked No | 59c | 847$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dd…e4a3backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked No | 79c | 345$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 41c | 147$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 21c | 112.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed No | 65c | 72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…4e6cbacked No | 66c | 47.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 277 | 49.5%137 W · 140 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 55c | 33.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…4461backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mouz qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?this page
- Will 9z qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Aurora qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Furia qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will NRG qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Natus Vincere qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Parivision qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Team Falcons qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Team Spirit qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will The MongolZ qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Tyloo qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Vitality qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.