CS2 · resolved market
Will Parivision qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x252b98039301ac11b9c6cf7fff87174b7f95f2524a1329afe80cca94c7265597
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,119 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab80…ffc0backed No | 1c | 13,610$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed No | 1c | 3,809$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…9896backed No | 59c | 1,461$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc349…a6ebbacked Yes | 44c | 1,373$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb993…6e3abacked Yes | 41c | 1,371$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…ca7dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,347$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…1b1ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,345$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2c…0776backed Yes | 44c | 1,288$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2b…b62ebacked No | 56c | 1,084$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe149…5fa6backed No | 56c | 1,077$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88cd…0f45backed No | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5a…cabcbacked No | 56c | 1,063$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…4d3fbacked No | 56c | 1,058$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9a…6fb2backed Yes | 41c | 742$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…7773backed Yes | 41c | 719$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…975ebacked No | 59c | 694$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed No | 59c | 677$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,094 | 51.1%559 W · 535 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Parivision qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?this page
- Will 9z qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Aurora qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Furia qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Mouz qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will NRG qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Natus Vincere qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Ninjas in Pyjamas qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Team Falcons qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Team Spirit qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will The MongolZ qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
- Will Tyloo qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?No won
- Will Vitality qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.