Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca0329cd4392d91e39df0702949229573d2415ae4a37b0103d0c6e9d03b8dd44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,455,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,419,583
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,455,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 784 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 0c | 286,045$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.21 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b7…2e99backed No | 0c | 104,817$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.53 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed No | 1c | 103,002$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.34 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 0c | 44,000$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked No | 26c | 39,431$10,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,339.9 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 0c | 39,312$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 1c | 38,245$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.49 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 3c | 30,814$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.93 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 30,485$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.8 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 7c | 28,437$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.83 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce4…fbd1backed No | 2c | 28,381$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +721.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 20c | 28,224$5,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,538.24 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No | 0c | 27,819$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 74c | 25,579$18,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,714.56 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed No | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 16c | 24,950$4,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020.58 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 19c | 22,000$4,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,081.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 7c | 18,980$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.68 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 14c | 17,707$2,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.34 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…434ebacked No | 17c | 17,511$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.61 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a7…a1c7backed No | 1c | 16,442$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…49f9backed Yes | 76c | 15,024$11,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed No | 6c | 14,674$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.71 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -76%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 17c | 13,915$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,389.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +121%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 7c | 13,719$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.2 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 1c | 12,771$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…3781backed No | 2c | 12,500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.88 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…18f2backed No | 0c | 12,269$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 8c | 12,243$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.81 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f23fbacked No | 10c | 12,221$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -75%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…5d15backed No | 24c | 11,692$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 19c | 11,436$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.19 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 12c | 11,170$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.64 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed No | 12c | 10,684$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 58c | 10,505$6,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,448 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…02cdbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked No | 27c | 9,965$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 78c | 9,662$7,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.62 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…9ff2backed Yes | 72c | 9,509$6,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 15c | 9,438$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.85 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…1b55backed No | 0c | 9,167$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 78c | 8,716$6,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.51 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 78c | 8,545$6,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,856.38 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed No | 19c | 8,340$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.12 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9225…9a5bbacked No | 5c | 7,775$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…02eabacked No | 0c | 7,773$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb799…06a1backed No | 2c | 7,649$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…f125backed No | 1c | 7,633$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed No | 1c | 7,196$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 12c | 7,072$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.18 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 79c | 7,000$5,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…f250backed Yes | 76c | 6,838$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed No | 20c | 6,018$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.56 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No | 0c | 5,993$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 5c | 5,751$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.67 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +7.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 23c | 5,627$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 2c | 5,519$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.27 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 21c | 5,299$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.14 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…69acbacked No | 1c | 5,147$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 38c | 5,052$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.54 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8b…92c9backed Yes | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a2…9524backed No | 0c | 4,773$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed No | 33c | 4,637$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.79 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 1c | 4,525$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 1c | 4,361$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed No | 19c | 4,295$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 2c | 4,244$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.95 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…a4c2backed No | 14c | 4,240$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 70c | 4,200$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.99 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…c1a7backed Yes | 68c | 3,800$2,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 14c | 3,800$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…6944backed Yes | 55c | 3,730$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.48 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…1eecbacked No | 15c | 3,653$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked No | 6c | 3,649$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.14 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 4c | 3,603$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.69 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 21c | 3,439$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.97 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…af00backed No | 32c | 3,387$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac0…55f3backed Yes | 69c | 3,353$2,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.12 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 28c | 3,297$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.82 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 42c | 3,255$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.33 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 5c | 3,072$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.05 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ed…e774backed Yes | 67c | 3,023$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 22c | 3,009$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.13 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 65c | 2,905$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.07 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked No | 5c | 2,746$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 64c | 2,700$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.99 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…b320backed No | 2c | 2,647$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 14c | 2,485$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.67 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 26c | 2,356$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 36c | 2,332$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.42 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…f8b4backed Yes | 77c | 2,309$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.99 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 40c | 2,168$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.4 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 16c | 2,156$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.35 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…ce86backed Yes | 76c | 2,140$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.6 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 24c | 2,120$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.41 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf525…559dbacked No | 1c | 2,033$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f7c2backed No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 24c | 1,995$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.8 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…822abacked Yes | 77c | 1,967$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.04 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?this page
- Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No won
- Will Dana Nessel win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No won
- Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No won
- Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No won
- Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No won
- Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No won
- Will Rashida Tlaib win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No won
- Will Sarah Anthony win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.