Movies · resolved market

Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3972a08c6aa7f7d4d7d90587c8a960da13149f65d1056e69d1a34d6639979968

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 22, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $87,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $88,833

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,276 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5b30…29a4backed Yes	53c	13,554$7,130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,129.7	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	1c	3,759$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.09	111	4.5%5 W · 106 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed No	48c	3,682$1,764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,918.23	129	23.3%30 W · 99 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	29cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	48c	3,323$1,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,711.48	299	26.4%79 W · 220 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No	49c	2,580$1,255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,324.86	130	40%52 W · 78 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No	68c	1,394$945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.8	482	36.3%175 W · 307 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755e…7b04backed Yes	22c	1,081$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.82	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No	73c	1,057$775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.63	506	33.4%169 W · 337 L	-30.0wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f68…2238backed Yes	16c	1,022$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.52	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454e…62b9backed Yes	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	38c	944.4$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$581.07	365	38.1%139 W · 226 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x177a…aa8ebacked Yes	19c	941$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.79	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	41cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d38…e898backed Yes	21c	928$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.88	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe513…b842backed Yes	16c	808$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.28	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fbf…7328backed Yes	19c	718$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.42	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aca…cad6backed Yes	14c	713$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.82	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc187…bdf1backed No	78c	711$555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.42	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0241…162abacked Yes	14c	675$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.5	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc6ce…3c8ebacked No	79c	671$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.91	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.27per pick	59cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff74…24f0backed Yes	21c	639$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.19	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a86…dea8backed Yes	73c	586.99$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.07	62	29%18 W · 44 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7170…ed44backed No	79c	586$463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.06	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+13%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Yes	2c	574.87$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.04	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-76.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a45…9d4abacked Yes	53c	566$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.98	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+8.8wins	+0.13per pick	28cpaid	+68.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes	45c	560.6$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.76	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x53de…b486backed Yes	15c	557$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.44	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	45cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcc1…d40bbacked Yes	15c	554$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.1	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5884…3191backed Yes	16c	525$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	45cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1220…741abacked Yes	14c	487$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.18	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdce0…7260backed Yes	19c	471$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.49	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+2.5wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes	71c	463.49$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328	157	39.5%62 W · 95 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02ee…5adebacked Yes	16c	452$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.32	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe136…cacebacked Yes	21c	438$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.98	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes	40c	420.35$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.97	140	15%21 W · 119 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x466e…ed99backed Yes	15c	415$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.58	31	38.7%12 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6891…1146backed Yes	24c	414$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.36	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c7…f199backed No	54c	405$219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.3	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2375…691fbacked No	79c	395$311 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.89	246	34.6%85 W · 161 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x168e…aa56backed Yes	16c	391$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.56	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+63.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d4…be7cbacked No	79c	380$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.8	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	17c	379$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.72	1,393	8%111 W · 1,282 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb88…6b99backed Yes	16c	372$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.52	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-5.4wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Yes	71c	354.99$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.04	46	50%23 W · 23 L	+8.3wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x79c1…497dbacked Yes	7c	354$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	131	30.5%40 W · 91 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7775…6cb4backed Yes	25c	351$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.75	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	47cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe87e…4f70backed No	79c	346$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.66	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x169a…55e4backed Yes	14c	332$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.48	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No	48c	328$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.96	237	51.9%123 W · 114 L	+16.9wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5829…e46bbacked Yes	14c	325$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-48.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes	16c	302$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.32	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x520d…babebacked No	58c	300.5$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.1	113	52.2%59 W · 54 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92b0…bbb6backed Yes	5c	294.93$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked No	57c	291$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.94	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	50c	286.2$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.89	672	32%215 W · 457 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04dc…2387backed No	36c	283$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.49	125	39.2%49 W · 76 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d4…5735backed Yes	14c	281$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.34	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfda…5709backed Yes	17c	279$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.92	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7feb…6bc2backed No	63c	278$174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.97	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x22eb…ad17backed Yes	72c	277.01$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	69	55.1%38 W · 31 L	+5.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+34%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b4b…1fb3backed No	43c	275$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.75	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-36%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a94…7154backed No	76c	271$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.71	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x848d…76c1backed No	57c	270$154 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.36	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88fa…2cf4backed Yes	16c	259$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.44	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-4.0wins	-0.16per pick	44cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6499…05d2backed No	76c	250$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bfa…3888backed Yes	16c	249$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.84	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6558…e485backed Yes	21c	245$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.45	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd622…defcbacked Yes	45c	243$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.35	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes	43c	232$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.76	25	40%10 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0956…9aa4backed No	78c	229$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.38	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0952…a44bbacked No	72c	226.93$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.54	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bef…1e38backed No	55c	222$122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.9	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa667…84febacked No	48c	220.42$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.69	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc981…a75dbacked Yes	28c	220$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.4	57	26.3%15 W · 42 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes	18c	220$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.6	178	21.3%38 W · 140 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d9d…a002backed Yes	57c	215$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.55	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbec…8dccbacked Yes	21c	214$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.94	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.1wins	+0.18per pick	53cpaid	+42.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03a3…fdf4backed Yes	46c	208$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.68	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c07…0cbcbacked Yes	15c	191$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.65	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-51%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…7523backed No	42c	191$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.78	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	44c	184.16$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.7	1,218	17.8%217 W · 1,001 L	-124.0wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4516…ea0ebacked No	77c	171$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.33	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1832…af9ebacked No	79c	167$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.07	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba3d…cdfabacked No	75c	165$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.25	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a3a…ca4cbacked Yes	58c	163$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.54	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdaf…f63cbacked Yes	23c	161$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.03	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64c2…c527backed No	40c	159$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.4	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8959…50f8backed Yes	60c	159$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.4	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-3.7wins	-0.21per pick	43cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8ac7…dc0bbacked No	40c	158$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.8	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-50.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa58d…b9b8backed No	29c	157.03$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.63	162	37.7%61 W · 101 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee9e…efb7backed Yes	19c	156$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.64	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-3.0wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes	60c	155$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-5.2wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84d6…bca9backed No	54c	155$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.09	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7546…2d93backed Yes	15c	150$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.54	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b71…f1d9backed No	42c	148$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.84	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.13per pick	46cpaid	+60.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2604…13ccbacked No	39c	144$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.44	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1633…8bf6backed No	78c	141$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.02	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+52.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4c5…dcb1backed No	57c	139$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.77	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dd…1bb5backed Yes	15c	134$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.1	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b32…c8a9backed Yes	46c	134$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.64	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ae9…2923backed No	40c	131$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.6	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	58cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Will Eva Victor be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Jessica Lange be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Jessie Buckley be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Will Jodie Comer be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Julia Roberts be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will June Squibb be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Kate Hudson be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Will Lucy Liu be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
Will Sydney Sweeney be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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