NBA · resolved market
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa1b936b7b692e234d7f0a27b524c9e959ab6ed593ededccd62444e1f9cb51690
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 402 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5885…6562backed Yes | 44c | 2,336$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 13c | 1,875$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.71 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…defcbacked Yes | 52c | 1,778$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.04 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…9ef2backed No | 20c | 1,774$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c11…778fbacked No | 1c | 1,672$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 50c | 1,590$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.72 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 53c | 1,383$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.06 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed No | 55c | 1,325$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.12 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f5…9dd3backed Yes | 45c | 1,316$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.3 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked No | 34c | 1,290$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.72 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed No | 41c | 1,225$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.43 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked No | 55c | 1,204$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 54c | 1,157$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.78 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ec…62aabacked Yes | 47c | 1,127$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.13 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed No | 56c | 1,080$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked Yes | 54c | 1,067$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.56 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked No | 53c | 1,063$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.45 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed No | 54c | 1,058$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.32 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked No | 54c | 1,046$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.84 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed No | 55c | 1,025$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.09 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 53c | 1,016$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.58 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…cad6backed No | 54c | 1,008$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.32 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed Yes | 44c | 999$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.44 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed No | 47c | 991$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.26 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked No | 58c | 973$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed Yes | 45c | 969$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.74 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…af79backed Yes | 49c | 957$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cae…c0eebacked Yes | 46c | 956.1$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.29 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes | 50c | 940$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed No | 56c | 906$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.36 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd19a…5b88backed Yes | 45c | 871$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.32 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28d6…f54ebacked Yes | 59c | 851$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 30c | 850.59$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.49 | 206 | 38.3%79 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed No | 53c | 838$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.52 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c22…50e1backed No | 54c | 836$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked Yes | 47c | 813$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.84 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked Yes | 47c | 812$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.32 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed Yes | 44c | 807$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.92 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd41…3796backed Yes | 78c | 806$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…1e5dbacked Yes | 80c | 804$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1550…f3a8backed No | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…c4e8backed No | 55c | 798$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.54 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked Yes | 44c | 791$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +270.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 16c | 788.74$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.22 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…5eafbacked Yes | 48c | 780$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…bb33backed No | 52c | 748$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.96 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked Yes | 47c | 744$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.76 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed Yes | 44c | 742$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.72 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked Yes | 45c | 741.88$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.89 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…fe02backed No | 54c | 740$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85b…77dbbacked No | 55c | 740$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.87 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed No | 56c | 738$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.28 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…cd12backed Yes | 38c | 732$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.12 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…bb1dbacked Yes | 80c | 725$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 50c | 722$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…fcbebacked No | 56c | 712$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed No | 54c | 703$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.62 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed No | 56c | 703$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.68 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 46c | 702$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed No | 56c | 696$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.76 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd320…81a5backed Yes | 44c | 692$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.52 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked No | 52c | 688$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.76 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed No | 52c | 672$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked No | 20c | 663$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8238backed Yes | 80c | 654$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…6cb4backed No | 56c | 650$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +167.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed No | 20c | 645.17$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed Yes | 80c | 643$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9e…bd49backed Yes | 46c | 641$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.14 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb25c…6d89backed No | 55c | 637$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.42 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked Yes | 51c | 633$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.11 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…513ebacked Yes | 44c | 626$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.56 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…2648backed Yes | 46c | 624$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.9 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed No | 20c | 617$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked Yes | 46c | 615$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…8085backed No | 54c | 613$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.02 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked No | 58c | 608$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.92 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 54c | 605$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.7 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +117%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed No | 55c | 601.73$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff2d…caf4backed No | 22c | 598$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed Yes | 45c | 591$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.31 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 46c | 587$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.98 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes | 46c | 586$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.44 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b2…0eb2backed No | 52c | 586$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c0…b919backed No | 54c | 583$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed No | 54c | 579$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.66 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…2380backed No | 20c | 576$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…3888backed No | 50c | 574$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.78 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed Yes | 55c | 569$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.9 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd1…2bb3backed No | 20c | 565$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 551.45$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed Yes | 55c | 542$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.84 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 53c | 528$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.95 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…dbd4backed Yes | 80c | 522$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 48c | 516$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.32 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6c…98babacked Yes | 79c | 514.37$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.81 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…12f8backed No | 54c | 513$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e4f3backed No | 2c | 508.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -50%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed Yes | 48c | 507$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…a617backed Yes | 48c | 506$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?this page
- Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will Immanuel Quickley lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will James Harden lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will Josh Giddey lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
- Will Trae Young lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.