NFL · resolved market
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0cc0a0901de4c42f614b51c3e4091eb478d550b863308d07dead7f18f118c7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 7,568$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed No | 65c | 816$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…cc1dbacked Yes | 41c | 771$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 49c | 548$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.76 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 30c | 532$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.09 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked No | 59c | 530$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…f745backed No | 59c | 452$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 40c | 408.15$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.47 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -69%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc682…17bbbacked Yes | 58c | 399.98$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed No | 30c | 386$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +200%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed No | 22c | 384$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Yes | 59c | 370$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.05 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c2…aa71backed No | 30c | 284$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked Yes | 36c | 272$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked No | 47c | 270$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…8211backed No | 31c | 233$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 75c | 232$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 68c | 215.17$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.84 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 70c | 215$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6499…05d2backed Yes | 41c | 202$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd719…d8e5backed Yes | 70c | 192$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 13c | 191.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae18…1132backed Yes | 70c | 183$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…ea0ebacked Yes | 71c | 167$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…2cf4backed Yes | 72c | 161$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…dc0bbacked Yes | 69c | 160.53$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797b…1deebacked Yes | 24c | 159$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed No | 45c | 154.37$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.43 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 52c | 152.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.68 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fae…6853backed No | 74c | 149$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked Yes | 70c | 149$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 54c | 147$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.14 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe309…44c2backed No | 59c | 146$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…aa3cbacked No | 31c | 142$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x326e…c7b9backed Yes | 70c | 140$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked Yes | 78c | 139$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed No | 27c | 133$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…5709backed No | 30c | 122$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…e29abacked Yes | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed No | 30c | 119$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked Yes | 78c | 115$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…c453backed No | 31c | 113$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes | 73c | 109$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x358d…7602backed Yes | 70c | 107$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5558backed No | 30c | 105$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed Yes | 69c | 104$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…4f11backed Yes | 22c | 97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 73c | 96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…062abacked Yes | 43c | 92.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54af…415ebacked No | 30c | 92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked Yes | 70c | 92$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked Yes | 41c | 88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9a…cc24backed Yes | 70c | 84$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x667f…8c3ebacked No | 30c | 84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked Yes | 53c | 81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29be…972cbacked Yes | 18c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed Yes | 53c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…5cc4backed No | 49c | 74.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked No | 25c | 73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1a…baf0backed Yes | 32c | 70.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24f8…351ebacked No | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…9652backed Yes | 50c | 69.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…a315backed No | 29c | 69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +240.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b0…f5bebacked Yes | 41c | 67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed Yes | 70c | 66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…2bcdbacked No | 30c | 66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked No | 29c | 63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…e046backed Yes | 53c | 63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 27c | 61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…ee01backed No | 76c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117f…088ebacked Yes | 69c | 58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…b54dbacked Yes | 70c | 53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ee…f411backed No | 76c | 47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d5f6backed Yes | 70c | 42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -9.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…69d2backed Yes | 74c | 37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6a…2778backed No | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…7577backed No | 30c | 35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked Yes | 71c | 33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…69cbbacked No | 78c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…f8d0backed Yes | 65c | 30.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a9…faebbacked No | 57c | 30.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8878…d821backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…b46ebacked Yes | 70c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked No | 58c | 23.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3b…f8b2backed No | 78c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a3…f56bbacked Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea45…e748backed No | 54c | 19.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73fc…0c8abacked No | 76c | 17.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?this page
- Will Amon-Ra St. Brown be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?No won
- Will Brian Thomas Jr. be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?No won
- Will CeeDee Lamb be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?No won
- Will Ja'Marr Chase be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?No won
- Will Justin Jefferson be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?No won
- Will Malik Nabers be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?No won
- Will Marvin Harrison Jr. be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?No won
- Will Mike Evans be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?No won
- Will Nico Collins be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?No won
- Will Puka Nacua be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?Yes won
- Will Tyreek Hill be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.