TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Puka Nacua be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,752

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,768 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed No0c7,364$33 inLost-$33.095679.9%56 W · 511 L-1.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeb9…3870backed Yes68c985.44$674 inWon+$311.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes51c886.46$448 inWon+$438.2220238.6%78 W · 124 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6337…1ebbbacked Yes16c658.72$104 inWon+$554.3418629.6%55 W · 131 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaef5…a454backed Yes15c461.99$68 inWon+$393.736625.8%17 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a0…5cc4backed No18c411.47$73 inLost-$73.441266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No30c290$88 inLost-$87.579045.6%41 W · 49 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…570cbacked Yes61c195.34$118 inWon+$77.145950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No37c183.99$68 inLost-$67.7311837.3%44 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe693…0f2dbacked Yes60c100$60 inWon+$402240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb118…947ebacked Yes12c100$12 inWon+$882544%11 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe87…062abacked No40c99.22$40 inLost-$402128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5903…a4fdbacked Yes41c97.61$40 inWon+$57.611136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf999…5460backed Yes71c81$58 inWon+$23.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11b…f663backed No42c70$29 inLost-$29.122272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aac…33bcbacked Yes37c70$26 inWon+$43.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+168.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd425…7518backed Yes50c60$30 inWon+$304528.9%13 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1515…3e11backed Yes60c47$28 inWon+$18.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1602…9fc8backed Yes60c45$27 inWon+$17.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd21a…c6bdbacked Yes58c43$25 inWon+$17.933100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+144.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f2e…7ec5backed Yes60c41$25 inWon+$16.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa73…7932backed Yes71c37$26 inWon+$10.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce4b…d2eabacked Yes71c35$25 inWon+$10.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7369…5806backed No29c35$10 inLost-$10.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfbc…529cbacked Yes72c30$21 inWon+$8.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ccf…8f47backed Yes61c28$17 inWon+$112100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa1…5020backed No40c27$11 inLost-$10.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x252a…13f9backed No63c26$16 inLost-$16.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef4…a917backed Yes76c25$19 inWon+$5.923622.2%8 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18ec…d0d4backed No63c25$16 inLost-$15.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b13…3d47backed Yes71c24.98$18 inWon+$7.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x192d…13fbbacked Yes72c24$17 inWon+$6.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x897a…ebfdbacked Yes59c24$14 inWon+$9.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a31…f2f0backed No65c20$13 inLost-$12.981464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d41…3533backed Yes61c19$12 inWon+$7.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ee…67babacked No63c19$12 inLost-$11.91333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick72cpaid-55.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f8…427dbacked Yes57c18$10 inWon+$7.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb017…4ba7backed Yes60c17$10 inWon+$6.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.