Venezuela · resolved market
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98264d8f51f929ea8c46851005cc4ad126f77044f21aa3eaa65fc6203abd3f6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,409
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,409 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd50…6f97backed No | 0c | 21,412$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…c784backed No | 1c | 15,429$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2255…b765backed No | 0c | 12,003$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030f…ffefbacked No | 0c | 9,310$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…24debacked No | 2c | 9,229$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 38c | 3,590$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed Yes | 65c | 3,321$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,159$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 11c | 2,884$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 78c | 2,777$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.46 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…f20bbacked Yes | 63c | 2,390$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7636…43dcbacked No | 4c | 2,100$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…f365backed Yes | 66c | 2,098$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 28cpaid | +107.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcddc…63edbacked No | 1c | 2,016$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed No | 38c | 1,596$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe103…59fdbacked No | 10c | 1,356$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.65 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,330$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…e251backed No | 3c | 1,111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 1c | 1,011$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 34c | 1,000$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked No | 34c | 997.1$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 63c | 976.19$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…423fbacked No | 36c | 784.03$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…3239backed No | 33c | 769.1$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…215dbacked No | 37c | 720.27$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 30c | 700$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 25c | 685.28$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.26 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 2c | 659.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…f54abacked No | 3c | 627.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 73c | 609.82$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.27 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357e…2a0cbacked No | 29c | 604.95$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.37 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 50cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 65c | 599.99$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.99 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 66c | 593.24$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.13 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…bc64backed No | 38c | 532.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f0…be79backed No | 37c | 529.8$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f3…776cbacked No | 9c | 524.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 4c | 512.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 12cpaid | +356.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…dbcabacked Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed Yes | 66c | 485.61$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 64c | 482.1$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 60c | 469.75$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.04 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…4692backed Yes | 65c | 462.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 13c | 462$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 33c | 457$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 5c | 452.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 33c | 439.04$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…72e9backed Yes | 60c | 376.33$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed No | 40c | 348.57$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 36c | 336.38$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 54cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 61c | 330$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked No | 41c | 323$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628d…1f4cbacked No | 31c | 321.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed No | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.9wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 69c | 299.99$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f3…d859backed Yes | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked Yes | 67c | 299.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…1850backed No | 39c | 295.69$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a0…7e0abacked Yes | 76c | 285.23$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked No | 7c | 269.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…50c9backed No | 39c | 256.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 61c | 254.65$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.31 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 64c | 251$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8e…776ebacked No | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce15…cbb7backed No | 34c | 210.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffe…b69dbacked No | 41c | 197.2$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked Yes | 73c | 197.08$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 30c | 190.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6c…00b9backed No | 8c | 177.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa137…06d7backed Yes | 59c | 168.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.3 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed No | 24c | 166.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…17bcbacked No | 42c | 165.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ded…6fd9backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 62c | 160.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…3bd0backed Yes | 74c | 159.81$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked No | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ee…4e39backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e79…ecf8backed Yes | 67c | 148.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked Yes | 61c | 147.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 27c | 132.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed Yes | 77c | 129.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb053…121abacked Yes | 78c | 128.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…ad73backed No | 37c | 125$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 26c | 124.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…af7fbacked Yes | 73c | 122.86$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7847…fc71backed No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 22c | 108.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…58d9backed Yes | 71c | 107.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 62c | 105.26$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c3…bd13backed No | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ff…5e00backed No | 42c | 104.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…2bdcbacked Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd553…6af5backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8a…9f2abacked No | 12c | 96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a70…3fc8backed No | 36c | 91.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab8…590fbacked No | 25c | 88.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.