Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Seattle Redhawks vs. UC Davis Aggies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5377cc28beb4f1003252ed1575e2a429a653ef6e7d4d4947d989703f415f6d2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Redhawksof Seattle Redhawks, UC Davis Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03fc…a8e6backed UC Davis Aggies | 7c | 8,100$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6c…00b9backed UC Davis Aggies | 4c | 8,012$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Seattle Redhawks | 63c | 4,085$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Seattle Redhawks | 59c | 2,829$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.9 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…05eabacked UC Davis Aggies | 0c | 2,750$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Seattle Redhawks | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked UC Davis Aggies | 51c | 2,288$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.06 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UC Davis Aggies | 35c | 2,234$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.84 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked UC Davis Aggies | 3c | 2,200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UC Davis Aggies | 30c | 2,001$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.5 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed UC Davis Aggies | 1c | 1,700$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UC Davis Aggies | 25c | 1,555$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.09 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UC Davis Aggies | 12c | 1,450$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.54 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed UC Davis Aggies | 1c | 1,388$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…b616backed UC Davis Aggies | 57c | 1,290$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…37c1backed UC Davis Aggies | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Seattle Redhawks | 61c | 1,006$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.7 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked UC Davis Aggies | 29c | 955.63$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.59 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Seattle Redhawks | 61c | 824.92$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.92 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Seattle Redhawks | 60c | 807$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.8 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed UC Davis Aggies | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked UC Davis Aggies | 40c | 599.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed UC Davis Aggies | 37c | 485.08$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UC Davis Aggies | 26c | 441.67$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffb…9801backed Seattle Redhawks | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed UC Davis Aggies | 41c | 390$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…47a4backed Seattle Redhawks | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed UC Davis Aggies | 31c | 362.05$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UC Davis Aggies | 42c | 337.97$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.33 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Seattle Redhawks | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed UC Davis Aggies | 41c | 325$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.22 | 132 | 27.3%36 W · 96 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UC Davis Aggies | 38c | 296$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.72 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Seattle Redhawks | 61c | 265$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked UC Davis Aggies | 42c | 229.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked UC Davis Aggies | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Seattle Redhawks | 74c | 183.79$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 97 | 71.1%69 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Seattle Redhawks | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Davis Aggies | 39c | 158.26$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.97 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Seattle Redhawks | 65c | 154.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed UC Davis Aggies | 34c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…c184backed UC Davis Aggies | 41c | 136.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed UC Davis Aggies | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2c…6962backed Seattle Redhawks | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Seattle Redhawks | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Seattle Redhawks | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 63 | 73%46 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a8…4130backed Seattle Redhawks | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Seattle Redhawks | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked UC Davis Aggies | 43c | 97.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 65c | 78.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c75…8c7abacked Seattle Redhawks | 60c | 76.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Seattle Redhawks | 71c | 71.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Seattle Redhawks | 78c | 68.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked UC Davis Aggies | 48c | 66.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80a9…ad8bbacked UC Davis Aggies | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…4f13backed UC Davis Aggies | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6878…bec2backed Seattle Redhawks | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…ea96backed UC Davis Aggies | 40c | 57.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Seattle Redhawks | 58c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed UC Davis Aggies | 42c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Seattle Redhawks | 61c | 52.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed Seattle Redhawks | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Seattle Redhawks | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…3fb6backed Seattle Redhawks | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…a5cebacked UC Davis Aggies | 41c | 31.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…7292backed Seattle Redhawks | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.