Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 November 24-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33884da0155e63263042f5aa7f074acb209889e6997bde53f9128135f27a09ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $388,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $408,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 72c | 67,000$48,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,738.14 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 24c | 42,077$10,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,108.58 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…e817backed Yes | 1c | 25,366$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 50c | 20,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 6c | 13,532$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.01 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed Yes | 29c | 11,296$3,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,267.54 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 8,541$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 11c | 7,612$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.28 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…6e0fbacked No | 73c | 7,450$5,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.21 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Yes | 18c | 6,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 30c | 5,876$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,784.59 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…e7d1backed No | 29c | 5,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 49c | 4,717$2,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.68 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2beb…0a24backed Yes | 40c | 3,162$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.64 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b3…6cbebacked No | 61c | 3,064$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…997abacked No | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 51c | 1,300$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 66c | 1,250$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.5 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d77…9fcbbacked Yes | 12c | 1,239$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 17c | 1,018$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.67 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02f5…18a3backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f1…2dd9backed No | 63c | 914.78$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3755…f2b0backed Yes | 13c | 770$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec2…6e8dbacked Yes | 15c | 683.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 67c | 590$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.3 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf907…8c26backed Yes | 47c | 520$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e7…89ffbacked Yes | 15c | 514.28$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f1…594bbacked No | 71c | 439.27$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…1fc9backed Yes | 19c | 422.4$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 27c | 403.04$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.36 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…a7d3backed No | 66c | 400$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…fc77backed No | 31c | 387.33$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +226.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 18c | 348.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…cc33backed No | 50c | 336.04$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…0f57backed Yes | 7c | 333.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…0fe2backed Yes | 18c | 330.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…409cbacked No | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe03a…0b98backed Yes | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9964…cb18backed No | 53c | 281.13$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc68…0888backed No | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe094…3316backed Yes | 50c | 217.01$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 10c | 200.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Yes | 18c | 193.06$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.71 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5384…7408backed No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…71f5backed No | 42c | 180$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0208…43ccbacked Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…5999backed Yes | 32c | 138.39$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…fb54backed No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d24…1f77backed Yes | 24c | 118.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…9ff4backed Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…3c7fbacked No | 61c | 115$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 67c | 112.42$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3c…7cd3backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x081b…a960backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a7…cfb1backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…9246backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…173ebacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a4…527cbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…ab01backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 28c | 99.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…2899backed Yes | 13c | 91.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf43…2247backed Yes | 67c | 82$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…971ebacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…39f5backed Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa127…5f6abacked Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 39c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…cb65backed No | 35c | 72.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…9490backed No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.6wins | +0.38per pick | 53cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 32c | 63.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…a031backed No | 19c | 62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8e…6143backed No | 71c | 61.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…25e8backed Yes | 74c | 59.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ce…fa37backed No | 40c | 50.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fe…480bbacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x028d…4bc1backed Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0252…9611backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79eb…ca05backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0629…b513backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd799…8f86backed Yes | 59c | 49.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4332…fca3backed Yes | 66c | 44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765e…9cefbacked Yes | 37c | 40.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…bb59backed Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2994…60a5backed Yes | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2f…fe3ebacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ece…d903backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…8d56backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfd…ee78backed Yes | 62c | 28.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd40e…78d6backed Yes | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…308dbacked Yes | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…bb3bbacked No | 80c | 20.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf4…cc11backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…63fdbacked Yes | 67c | 19.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c9…893abacked No | 63c | 18.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f33cbacked No | 71c | 18.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum reach $3,100 November 24-30?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 November 24-30?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 November 24-30?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 November 24-30?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 November 24-30?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 November 24-30?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 November 24-30?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,900 November 24-30?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,000 November 24-30?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 November 24-30?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,300 November 24-30?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,400 November 24-30?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $3,500 November 24-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.