Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc5494faf5ceca60a77a46db255b8c8e30b1bcc7d94d9138f5d4e945bba1ad34

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,702,964
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,685,440

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,702,964 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 571 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x04c2…86d8backed Yes	49c	184,137$91,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91,055.36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b21…5364backed Yes	52c	71,638$37,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37,274.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	2c	66,351$1,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.28	105	21.9%23 W · 82 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bab…cfedbacked Yes	50c	60,996$30,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,692.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8329…5488backed Yes	53c	58,099$30,767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,766.95	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec4…fc83backed Yes	56c	28,366$15,805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,805.07	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe551…0a67backed No	46c	27,802$12,865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,937.05	13	100%13 W · 0 L	+7.1wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+164.5%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0x7f67…8df0backed Yes	53c	27,294$14,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,425.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb119…f8cdbacked Yes	41c	23,090$9,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,355.39	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-3.7wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-74.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a09…e317backed No	50c	22,797$11,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,397.22	26	84.6%22 W · 4 L	+9.8wins	+0.38per pick	47cpaid	+125.5%equal weight	71+0.19 edge/pick
0x0b97…e4f1backed Yes	0c	21,268$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.8	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.14per pick	34cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb0e6…7ef4backed Yes	54c	19,777$10,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,684.42	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1834…a26abacked Yes	54c	19,766$10,609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,608.54	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+45%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c78…4f82backed Yes	53c	19,710$10,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,512.3	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x279c…b574backed Yes	54c	19,685$10,631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,630.55	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1bbb…a68dbacked Yes	54c	19,684$10,576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,575.85	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.6wins	-0.29per pick	51cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb751…8d99backed Yes	51c	17,798$8,989 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,989.25	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-3.3wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	16,571$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.64	206	1.9%4 W · 202 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c6d…12c4backed Yes	3c	16,339$474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.83	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x847b…0eeabacked Yes	23c	15,841$3,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,643.41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc771…b18fbacked No	50c	15,038$7,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,509.27	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc525…12f2backed Yes	8c	14,705$1,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,220.54	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-75%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…6657backed No	57c	14,163$8,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,151.66	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+9.5wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+29.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc628…54f0backed No	58c	13,298$7,734 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,563.92	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+4.1wins	+0.34per pick	41cpaid	+114.3%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Yes	44c	13,005$5,702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,701.91	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce03…5608backed No	47c	12,845$6,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,830.35	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa49c…6416backed Yes	8c	11,246$938 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$938.25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes	51c	10,560$5,345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,345	70	21.4%15 W · 55 L	-6.4wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No	60c	10,396$6,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,199.81	178	59.6%106 W · 72 L	+18.3wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+21%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd6d7…554ebacked No	49c	10,106$4,997 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,108.11	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9f9…c5e8backed No	50c	10,030$4,991 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,038.77	60	63.3%38 W · 22 L	+17.9wins	+0.30per pick	34cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	73+0.21 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed No	47c	10,000$4,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,300	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5c1…d84abacked No	49c	9,934$4,904 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,030.17	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+102.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f5…6f7cbacked No	48c	9,298$4,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,863.6	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+43.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda33…4841backed No	49c	8,582$4,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,361.44	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b7…12b9backed No	46c	8,348$3,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,507.73	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+2.7wins	+0.18per pick	35cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x661a…e9e8backed Yes	53c	8,076$4,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,257.86	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.31per pick	48cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0387…1f48backed No	50c	7,929$4,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,924.71	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.19per pick	53cpaid	+33%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9cd…e578backed Yes	1c	7,868$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe02c…5d08backed Yes	51c	7,626$3,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,889.37	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad41…a108backed No	46c	7,259$3,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,909.66	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.4wins	+0.24per pick	46cpaid	+93.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e6f…983dbacked Yes	54c	6,660$3,597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,596.6	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e08…7788backed Yes	53c	6,596$3,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,487.22	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-5.6wins	-0.16per pick	43cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	3c	6,005$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.96	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa32c…c374backed Yes	53c	5,963$3,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,162.05	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-3.7wins	-0.26per pick	33cpaid	-78%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3453…09f5backed Yes	0c	5,906$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e99…cd61backed Yes	49c	5,856$2,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,869.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa172…b716backed Yes	47c	5,626$2,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,624.95	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-4.3wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d26…a7d1backed No	50c	5,485$2,727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,758.44	96	45.8%44 W · 52 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ff6…e517backed Yes	54c	5,414$2,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,946.83	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.19per pick	47cpaid	+65.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa45c…1d10backed Yes	49c	5,265$2,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,584.58	47	42.6%20 W · 27 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe420…74cdbacked No	51c	5,166$2,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,528.23	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+95.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbb…a41abacked Yes	36c	5,086$1,843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,842.5	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2696…5652backed Yes	0c	5,026$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1621…9b19backed Yes	0c	5,026$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes	4c	5,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	79	19%15 W · 64 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7464…312ebacked Yes	54c	5,000$2,696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,695.86	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…b99cbacked Yes	47c	4,920$2,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,332.38	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa40a…0615backed No	48c	4,629$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,429.2	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x951e…d394backed Yes	4c	4,103$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.56	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3893…633cbacked Yes	42c	4,017$1,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,688.14	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x793c…6c5dbacked Yes	50c	3,927$1,955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,954.86	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7219…ae7bbacked Yes	3c	3,698$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5158…4638backed No	56c	3,673$2,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,601.36	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+77.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Yes	2c	3,500$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.03	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-55.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	3,498$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.09	244	2%5 W · 239 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	4cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e2…9b0cbacked No	46c	3,354$1,543 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,811.17	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	59cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77a0…8f62backed Yes	52c	3,086$1,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,607.74	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x60d1…0c8fbacked No	50c	3,022$1,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,497.25	155	39.4%61 W · 94 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee92…eaa4backed Yes	35c	3,010$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-3.2wins	-0.32per pick	42cpaid	-82.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc1fd…2b98backed Yes	51c	2,998$1,529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,528.87	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes	16c	2,934$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.26	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes	32c	2,805$890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$890.41	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x498c…c0c0backed No	46c	2,500$1,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,350	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+48.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c12…6986backed Yes	16c	2,496$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.29	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc93…e66cbacked Yes	55c	2,491$1,370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,370.19	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0011…3642backed Yes	51c	2,479$1,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,265.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.56per pick	56cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x477f…b715backed Yes	54c	2,401$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf25b…b162backed Yes	49c	2,357$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,155.73	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7336…94b8backed Yes	1c	2,256$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes	2c	2,254$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.02	20	10%2 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	4cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf272…48d2backed No	67c	2,203$1,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$727.03	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+49.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	5c	2,130$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.9	237	7.2%17 W · 220 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e67…ba90backed Yes	54c	2,094$1,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,131	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	61cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9682…45f8backed Yes	54c	2,060$1,112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,112.42	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb2b…1921backed No	46c	2,000$920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080	50	58%29 W · 21 L	+7.9wins	+0.16per pick	42cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes	1c	2,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.7	142	4.2%6 W · 136 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83f0…e19abacked Yes	53c	1,990$1,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,064.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.62per pick	62cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1313…d42bbacked Yes	3c	1,988$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	15cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe77e…d487backed Yes	53c	1,947$1,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff9…2b09backed No	47c	1,947$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,031.92	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+85.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b35…5c83backed Yes	53c	1,947$1,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf123…902cbacked No	47c	1,947$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,031.92	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x953b…599cbacked No	47c	1,947$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,031.92	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae4…4b13backed Yes	53c	1,947$1,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17b0…8538backed No	47c	1,947$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,031.92	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e88…f6a5backed Yes	53c	1,947$1,032 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,031.92	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	54cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x804a…fdb1backed No	47c	1,945$914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,030.59	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ac8…dc49backed No	47c	1,945$914 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,030.59	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.53per pick	47cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x120f…8534backed Yes	53c	1,945$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?this page
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes won
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?Yes won
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event