Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c3d236be3f096da263e01776507293adb7374339df0a964dca27192699af6d9

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $455,257
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $495,279

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $455,257 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x409f…543abacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	0%0 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes	1c	7,199$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.73	51	11.8%6 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.07per pick	5cpaid	-20%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf43…0f22backed Yes	0c	5,659$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec0…976bbacked Yes	0c	5,399$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf359…e101backed Yes	2c	3,524$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Yes	2c	3,231$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.6	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb73…292cbacked Yes	2c	3,007$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Yes	3c	2,998$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.2	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	29cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xed4a…90f6backed Yes	2c	2,643$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.17	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4642…3141backed Yes	1c	2,600$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.32per pick	25cpaid	+122.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b56…81efbacked Yes	1c	2,414$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ce8…89a8backed Yes	19c	2,338$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60e6…77d6backed Yes	19c	2,244$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.86	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	1c	2,097$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.35	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17ba…b3a7backed Yes	1c	2,095$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.28per pick	22cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes	1c	2,005$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.46	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-65.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f96…86dfbacked Yes	22c	1,875$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.59	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d0…5585backed Yes	21c	1,756$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.76	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb119…f8cdbacked Yes	7c	1,692$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.34	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-3.7wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-74.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8765…ed81backed Yes	1c	1,689$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.07	233	3.4%8 W · 225 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b2…6bcebacked Yes	27c	1,670$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.01	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b10…0b49backed Yes	26c	1,667$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$433.32	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d1…ffc9backed Yes	1c	1,636$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.72	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9953…e429backed Yes	26c	1,599$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6766…3e33backed Yes	17c	1,571$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb03…a6e6backed Yes	26c	1,570$408 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e70…4dccbacked Yes	22c	1,539$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cf0…8e7abacked Yes	19c	1,534$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	1,515$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.05	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa6…95cfbacked Yes	21c	1,505$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.13	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27de…d528backed Yes	9c	1,503$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.73	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd033…27e0backed Yes	2c	1,500$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	15cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8242…cb6ebacked Yes	1c	1,500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6674…f3ebbacked Yes	26c	1,496$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.83	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b6a…fa95backed Yes	27c	1,477$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.79	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…3339backed Yes	26c	1,470$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.17	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce8d…5694backed Yes	22c	1,460$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f9b…2727backed Yes	26c	1,453$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x750a…aa33backed Yes	19c	1,444$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d5…5670backed Yes	22c	1,403$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.73	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa21b…e2b1backed Yes	21c	1,399$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…769abacked Yes	22c	1,379$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.34	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6380…99cebacked Yes	19c	1,347$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b3e…3004backed Yes	22c	1,344$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f5…6511backed Yes	21c	1,336$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	2c	1,307$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.64	166	2.4%4 W · 162 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7374…ec5dbacked Yes	22c	1,254$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.86	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab20…0bcdbacked Yes	15c	1,253$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.95	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	10cpaid	+177.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1086…7b3cbacked Yes	17c	1,250$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.59	52	25%13 W · 39 L	-3.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf488…5d18backed Yes	17c	1,228$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x968d…e36cbacked Yes	27c	1,223$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.1	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb337…8d2dbacked Yes	16c	1,219$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.95	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6d6…58f0backed Yes	1c	1,213$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a29…583cbacked Yes	15c	1,200$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5577…a7f8backed Yes	22c	1,112$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9fa…2e2ebacked Yes	22c	1,082$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.04	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe358…e84cbacked Yes	20c	1,046$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.88	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77a0…8f62backed Yes	18c	1,019$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.39	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24fd…6378backed No	74c	990.1$733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.43	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	71cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5630…a6abbacked No	74c	985.8$729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.31	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	71cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd6e…ab92backed No	74c	970.3$718 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$252.28	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	71cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc59a…5bbfbacked Yes	23c	962$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.48	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+29.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x884d…75c7backed No	74c	960.1$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.63	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	71cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x499f…c859backed No	74c	945.3$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.78	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	71cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc01…602abacked Yes	16c	935.44$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e33…a3b7backed Yes	17c	929.3$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70cd…8b27backed No	78c	910.1$710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.22	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67f4…ec58backed No	74c	895.1$662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.73	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	71cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ae6…f6fbbacked No	73c	888$648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.76	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b5a…d395backed No	73c	886$647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.22	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec63…68d9backed No	79c	885.1$699 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.87	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42fa…4c13backed No	79c	880.9$696 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.99	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x746c…a177backed No	74c	880.7$652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.98	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	71cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d0…5536backed No	74c	880.3$651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.88	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	71cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed36…07fcbacked No	78c	880.1$686 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.62	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d4a…ec11backed No	73c	876$639 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.52	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ec…dee6backed No	74c	875.9$648 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.73	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	71cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b64…afebbacked No	79c	875.1$691 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.77	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2f…d26bbacked No	74c	870.4$644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.3	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	71cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40cb…f15bbacked No	78c	865.3$675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$190.37	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bcd…dff4backed No	73c	860$628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.2	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf793…a6c3backed No	73c	860$628 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.2	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6fd…8e8ebacked No	79c	855.1$676 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.57	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d50…541dbacked No	78c	850.6$663 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.13	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4a1…4799backed Yes	15c	849.24$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	2c	840.57$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.41	349	5.7%20 W · 329 L	-25.3wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5095…56c5backed No	78c	835.9$652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.9	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6312…dba9backed No	79c	835.4$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.43	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe453…1f46backed No	79c	835.3$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.41	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cc9…18f4backed No	79c	830.1$656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.32	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7f…23cfbacked No	78c	829$647 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.38	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91c2…a479backed No	78c	826$644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.72	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb322…ef55backed No	78c	821$640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.62	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd35d…24f8backed No	78c	816$636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.52	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69cb…ba28backed No	78c	814$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.08	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7db…95bebacked No	78c	812$633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.64	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eb0…7decbacked No	78c	806$629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.32	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4be…4ac4backed No	78c	801$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.22	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3b…a4b5backed No	78c	795$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174.9	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca16…e42bbacked No	78c	785$612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$172.7	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?this page
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
Based FDV above $2B one day after launch?No won
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?No won
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?No won
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes won
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?Yes won
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event