NBA · resolved market
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb29382f2aedc150f0502905d63b0e968f6003990ef64be535e5521d9e33e20f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Raptors, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $572,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $575,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $572,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 414,783$220,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194,782.99 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Raptors | 47c | 245,329$115,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115,304.67 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Raptors | 47c | 144,345$67,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,842.02 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 49c | 105,833$51,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,338.02 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 30,068$15,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,740.34 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 22,933$11,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,237.41 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 10,800$5,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,076 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Raptors | 46c | 10,179$4,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,686.84 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 207 | 44.9%93 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 49c | 9,271$4,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,508.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Raptors | 47c | 8,576$3,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,992.12 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 47c | 5,591$2,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,639.41 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Raptors | 48c | 4,408$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.88 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Raptors | 46c | 3,618$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.21 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Raptors | 48c | 2,495$1,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.6 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Raptors | 48c | 2,185$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049 | 591 | 40.8%241 W · 350 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Raptors | 47c | 1,726$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.04 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,118$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.83 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Raptors | 49c | 1,086$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.21 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Raptors | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Raptors | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3088…ec44backed Raptors | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raptors | 45c | 916$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.2 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Raptors | 56c | 759.03$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.15 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors | 45c | 630.55$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.63 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 568.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.09 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…13bfbacked Raptors | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…6953backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -7.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…f383backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 364.25$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors | 66c | 287.88$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 250$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…1dc4backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…5eddbacked Raptors | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Raptors | 46c | 246$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.16 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Raptors | 48c | 237$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.74 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…1c8fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 236$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 227.55$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Raptors | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 196.23$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Raptors | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1375…4c69backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ba…996fbacked Raptors | 51c | 182.35$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 161.43$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Raptors | 50c | 150.12$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…6bb9backed Raptors | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Raptors | 48c | 140.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.47 | 217 | 53%115 W · 102 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…29f7backed Raptors | 53c | 106.31$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Raptors | 48c | 104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 101.89$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Raptors | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Raptors | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd4…edd2backed Raptors | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 289 | 29.4%85 W · 204 L | -13.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5d…4c40backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x895d…4970backed Raptors | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c07…7ae9backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Raptors | 50c | 90.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Raptors | 47c | 87.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Raptors | 65c | 86.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.24 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…79f9backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 82.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.97 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Raptors | 49c | 82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…ef1bbacked Raptors | 56c | 80.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…6b3dbacked Raptors | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…af12backed Raptors | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211b…78aebacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66d…bd4cbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 66.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…0732backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 63.68$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…017cbacked Raptors | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd79d…5489backed Raptors | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0468…a6afbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 59.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad2…1d78backed Raptors | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Raptors | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…af0bbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 46.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdba3…a6a8backed Raptors | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 44.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…4165backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Raptors | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Raptors | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Raptors | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.