NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce2e26b22abd47ca366bd692b986a0940f6e402c997658d037bc7f6b8815169b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 3,895$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,117.93 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…16d3backed Under | 54c | 2,767$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.95 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Under | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -14.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 46c | 513$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.02 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 54c | 513$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 46c | 169.04$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.87 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Under | 53c | 124.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 50c | 121.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 139 | 38.8%54 W · 85 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa198…9601backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 45c | 97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 48c | 87.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd8…b4dbbacked Under | 56c | 81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Over | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…4d91backed Under | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 46c | 67.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 31c | 65.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…e269backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 247 | 31.2%77 W · 170 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 47c | 61.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee2f…7677backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Under | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd64…c090backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…43b6backed Under | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45fb…1289backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…b3c7backed Over | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 49c | 24.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…97e5backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.