NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17d29ad15f397b40a7cf833665c4ab0f118e7d0817a6dd45017601af3881c825

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 3, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $84,964
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $86,015

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,964 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under	50c	23,749$11,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,936.36	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2e5…eec3backed Under	49c	15,000$7,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,350	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb06d…7c03backed Over	51c	15,000$7,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,350	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+4.0wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x23ed…f088backed Under	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-49%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f3…f6bebacked Over	49c	10,000$4,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,100	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+83.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over	50c	7,504$3,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,753.54	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	-8.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	51c	7,500$3,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,800	691	49.1%339 W · 352 L	-8.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7b…b0acbacked Over	49c	7,489$3,669 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,819.75	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over	48c	5,273$2,531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,742.07	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over	49c	4,016$1,968 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,048.16	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Over	49c	3,100$1,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,580.91	483	47.2%228 W · 255 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over	51c	2,500$1,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,233.88	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over	47c	2,293$1,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,215.3	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed Under	53c	1,890$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-4.1wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ead…16d3backed Under	51c	1,642$838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.52	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under	50c	1,262$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636.07	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over	50c	1,200$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under	51c	1,022$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521	507	54.2%275 W · 232 L	+13.6wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0c…cc5bbacked Over	49c	995.92$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.92	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Under	53c	943.4$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	141	56%79 W · 62 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Over	49c	612.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.24	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Under	53c	566.32$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	402	43.8%176 W · 226 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	49c	502.87$246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.46	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Over	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	726	47.7%346 W · 380 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	369	43.4%160 W · 209 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under	53c	425$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.25	617	40.7%251 W · 366 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over	49c	400$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	272	47.8%130 W · 142 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	47c	389$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204.24	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Under	50c	380$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	409	52.1%213 W · 196 L	+16.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Under	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	271	52%141 W · 130 L	-17.9wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Under	55c	363.64$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	218	52.8%115 W · 103 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51e1…c98abacked Over	47c	351.06$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.06	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Over	48c	300.85$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.44	256	42.6%109 W · 147 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb080…5eddbacked Over	47c	250$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.5	85	40%34 W · 51 L	-7.5wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Over	47c	250$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$132.5	179	41.9%75 W · 104 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	51c	216$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.45	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Over	49c	204.08$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.08	151	46.4%70 W · 81 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebb1…e7afbacked Over	51c	200$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	368	54.1%199 W · 169 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5f27…6ea7backed Over	49c	200$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102	141	45.4%64 W · 77 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a8a…b155backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	116	52.6%61 W · 55 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15a3…718ebacked Under	52c	200$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	113	51.3%58 W · 55 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under	50c	199.99$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	1,110	52%577 W · 533 L	+8.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Over	48c	190.38$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99	625	41.9%262 W · 363 L	-32.7wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Under	53c	188.68$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	50c	185.8$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.9	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e88…7c99backed Under	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	55	52.7%29 W · 26 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3685…0123backed Over	70c	175$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	25	80%20 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.14per pick	66cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over	52c	150$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	378	48.9%185 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc213…80f7backed Under	53c	149.06$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbc…9cf6backed Over	49c	136.73$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.73	366	49.5%181 W · 185 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Over	49c	136.7$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.72	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-5.9wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	47c	117.55$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.67	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…fcf3backed Over	51c	100$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49	124	54%67 W · 57 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Under	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	698	52%363 W · 335 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8c0…0818backed Over	49c	100$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	52cpaid	+94.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x36ce…daddbacked Over	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6611…17e7backed Under	52c	100$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	90	48.9%44 W · 46 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4556…2b35backed Under	54c	99.99$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.49	129	52.7%68 W · 61 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Under	54c	92.57$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	328	53%174 W · 154 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebac…be55backed Over	51c	90$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.1	121	53.7%65 W · 56 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Over	50c	71.36$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.58	526	43%226 W · 300 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb6…426fbacked Under	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e4e…dc93backed Over	52c	58.65$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.15	52	48.1%25 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf581…0892backed Over	52c	57.69$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.69	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	56	62.5%35 W · 21 L	+6.4wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	710	44.6%317 W · 393 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over	50c	50$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	388	45.6%177 W · 211 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f96…1fb1backed Over	49c	47.17$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.06	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5748…7b81backed Over	48c	45.83$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.83	147	51%75 W · 72 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Over	49c	40.89$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.89	236	42.4%100 W · 136 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Over	49c	38.53$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.65	195	43.1%84 W · 111 L	-12.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Under	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	290	46.9%136 W · 154 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xece8…4edbbacked Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a5…fb44backed Over	52c	38.46$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.46	125	61.6%77 W · 48 L	+4.4wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a4a…c6e4backed Over	51c	35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.1	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd68e…7c6cbacked Over	51c	34.22$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.77	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.35per pick	51cpaid	+68.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49ab…f2a9backed Under	49c	34.22$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.77	152	47.4%72 W · 80 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	52c	33.43$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.38	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Over	50c	30$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	253	51%129 W · 124 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa21d…ba2ebacked Over	47c	29.79$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.79	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under	49c	21.87$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	302	44%133 W · 169 L	-6.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbef9…d257backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	96	58.3%56 W · 40 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b82…b217backed Under	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa709…8d1dbacked Over	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	89	55.1%49 W · 40 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5this page
1H Spread: Raptors (-3.5)Raptors won
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
Spread: Raptors (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
Trail Blazers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: O/U 229.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5Over won
Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: O/U 232.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Trail Blazers vs. Raptors: O/U 231.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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