NBA · resolved market
Spread: Heat (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x860d2d8c83b81cb7ac26697b7fe9d083b161824e7ccd2d475ab00a7d12276d00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Heat, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $249,346
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $249,346 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Heat | 50c | 185,069$92,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,420.53 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Mavericks | 50c | 150,000$75,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,000 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks | 50c | 29,952$14,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,033.86 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Heat | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Mavericks | 50c | 18,257$9,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,060.86 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heat | 50c | 8,000$4,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,030 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Mavericks | 49c | 5,503$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,806.28 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Heat | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Mavericks | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.57 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mavericks | 51c | 3,733$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,829.17 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Heat | 49c | 3,597$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.45 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks | 50c | 2,998$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.02 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Heat | 48c | 2,684$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.32 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Heat | 51c | 2,625$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.6 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Heat | 51c | 2,400$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Mavericks | 50c | 2,000$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,893$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.61 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Heat | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,730$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.83 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,608$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.07 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,462$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.46 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Mavericks | 49c | 1,373$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.25 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Mavericks | 51c | 1,176$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.47 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Mavericks | 49c | 1,096$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.05 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Mavericks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Mavericks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…6f34backed Heat | 51c | 992.16$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks | 50c | 858.3$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.68 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…8174backed Heat | 51c | 612.35$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.3 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…975abacked Mavericks | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Heat | 51c | 525.49$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Mavericks | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Mavericks | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Mavericks | 50c | 300$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Mavericks | 49c | 280$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Mavericks | 46c | 261.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.42 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks | 50c | 239.93$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Mavericks | 50c | 231.02$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.13 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Heat | 50c | 223.28$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Mavericks | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Mavericks | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 631 | 42%265 W · 366 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Mavericks | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Heat | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Heat | 51c | 195.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Heat | 51c | 127$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…2041backed Heat | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 195 | 48.7%95 W · 100 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Heat | 56c | 116.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 324 | 50%162 W · 162 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Mavericks | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Mavericks | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0495…c68fbacked Mavericks | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Heat | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Heat | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 603 | 46.4%280 W · 323 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Mavericks | 50c | 97.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Mavericks | 48c | 90.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.29 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…94dbbacked Mavericks | 52c | 90$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Mavericks | 47c | 84.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb940…50b4backed Heat | 55c | 78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heat | 48c | 70.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Heat | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Mavericks | 59c | 48.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf459…7a53backed Heat | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat | 23c | 47.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8477…d936backed Heat | 51c | 46.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d8…0074backed Mavericks | 46c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3775…2309backed Heat | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdafc…dbadbacked Mavericks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…f07bbacked Heat | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffe…1bc9backed Mavericks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…6e0abacked Mavericks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 175 | 27.4%48 W · 127 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Mavericks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…1e85backed Heat | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…8de0backed Heat | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb14…e0c6backed Mavericks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x333c…7856backed Mavericks | 48c | 37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Heat | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 56.9%128 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Heat | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Mavericks | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Mavericks | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Mavericks | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Mavericks | 50c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…7c6cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 33.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…25debacked Heat | 50c | 32.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 50cpaid | -79%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Heat | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Mavericks | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 245 | 52.7%129 W · 116 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f4…8081backed Mavericks | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Mavericks | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Mavericks | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Mavericks | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976c…7634backed Mavericks | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…f12fbacked Mavericks | 51c | 29.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…0329backed Mavericks | 50c | 29.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc968…c59bbacked Mavericks | 52c | 29.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…f67fbacked Mavericks | 52c | 28.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19f…f745backed Heat | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Mavericks | 51c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa393…29f7backed Mavericks | 50c | 24.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Mavericks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Mavericks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Heat (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Heat (-1.5)Mavericks won
- Heat vs. MavericksMavericks won
- Heat vs. Mavericks: 1H MoneylineMavericks won
- Heat vs. Mavericks: 1H O/U 123.5Under won
- Heat vs. Mavericks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Heat vs. Mavericks: O/U 237.5Under won
- Heat vs. Mavericks: O/U 239.5Under won
- Heat vs. Mavericks: O/U 240.5Under won
- Heat vs. Mavericks: O/U 241.5Under won
- Spread: Heat (-3.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Heat (-5.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.