Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40f146d9979f51d97b53a60328a622f2e3991b22412312de4eb84774caf47365
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Xtreme Gaming, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 21,917$12,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,674.67 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd1…8257backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 11,525$6,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,608.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f9…e310backed Virtus.pro | 48c | 10,769$5,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,598.89 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 10,300$4,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,802.95 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 10,149$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,998.69 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 8,794$4,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,755.39 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a28…41edbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 7,486$3,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,340.55 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 6,598$3,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 6,533$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.33 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 6,269$3,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,252.95 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 5,978$2,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.12 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 5,900$3,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,523.4 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ac…86d0backed Virtus.pro | 73c | 5,000$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.61 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 4,552$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,105.83 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 4,444$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,618.22 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 4,422$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.66 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 4,250$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 4,003$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.74 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 3,500$2,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.74 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 3,333$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 3,067$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.29 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 3,010$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4e9ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 2,222$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.79 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…abccbacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 2,200$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 2,120$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.4 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 2,036$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.2 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…d685backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 1,942$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc819…2905backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 1,923$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 1,700$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 1,635$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.73 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Virtus.pro | 41c | 1,600$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.88 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 1,584$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.96 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 1,539$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 1,432$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.12 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 29c | 1,432$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.92 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 1,345$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.07 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Virtus.pro | 43c | 1,202$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.33 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…5df2backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 1,134$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 1,131$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.33 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,108$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.32 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 1,100$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 1,012$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.99 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8d…210fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 955.41$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.78 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…430dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 933.56$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.02 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Virtus.pro | 76c | 895.09$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.67 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9be…8b35backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 888.54$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.4 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 879.98$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.59 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 784.78$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.97 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 33c | 715.17$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.76 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…d9d7backed Virtus.pro | 76c | 708$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcf…faddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 698.88$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -75%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…dc88backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 687$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.23 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Virtus.pro | 42c | 646.88$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 642$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.2 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 600$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…9124backed Xtreme Gaming | 13c | 600$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Xtreme Gaming | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46fe…a43dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 561.4$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9571…1d98backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 540$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbb…55b0backed Virtus.pro | 24c | 538.42$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.42 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked Virtus.pro | 38c | 535.43$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Xtreme Gaming | 63c | 530.86$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…fbbdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 499.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Virtus.pro | 36c | 479.56$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.92 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 468.59$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…4705backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 454.64$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.31 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f3…8cbdbacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 445.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…19bbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 433.24$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Virtus.pro | 80c | 421.25$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.25 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc76b…5fbabacked Xtreme Gaming | 46c | 419.2$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.83 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a5…a523backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 415.42$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.42 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 414.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.57 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…67a6backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 395.87$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.9 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 391.88$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.43 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda2f…9716backed Xtreme Gaming | 58c | 364.6$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 362.3$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 356.18$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.89 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…1fdbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 10c | 347.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.78 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 11cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 345.61$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad4…721fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 344.91$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.47 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…25d3backed Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 316.96$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 311.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.52 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 300$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.37 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf494…10a8backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 290.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 290$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…c136backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 280$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.18 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 278.09$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 259.08$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c61…470fbacked Virtus.pro | 36c | 251.26$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.26 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 250$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 255 | 47.8%122 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Xtreme Gaming | 56c | 249.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3)this page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.