Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f8d051e8461c79375c65d3b882874c7c94118e1c25346c7afae4c3a2ee0c0ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Xtreme Gaming, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 5,991$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.14 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 4,303$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200.49 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Virtus.pro | 48c | 4,194$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.15 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 4,040$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.88 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 4,022$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.64 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…932fbacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 4,000$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 3,029$1,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,521.44 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb30…302abacked Virtus.pro | 45c | 1,785$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.89 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 1,682$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.31 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 54c | 1,661$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,500$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Xtreme Gaming | 49c | 1,370$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.38 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 740$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 578.38$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.62 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb26c…46ddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 38c | 477.27$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 444.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6c…30c5backed Xtreme Gaming | 17c | 299.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 264.6$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 245.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…7477backed Xtreme Gaming | 27c | 230.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b3…f676backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…9ac1backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 213.96$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +159%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…2d9fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 11c | 186.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 267 | 41.9%112 W · 155 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 31c | 181.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 57c | 174.05$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 205 | 56.1%115 W · 90 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c1…928cbacked Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b6…1765backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 129.84$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 126.26$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…9db5backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 121.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…c2eabacked Xtreme Gaming | 44c | 108.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 103.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.93 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Xtreme Gaming | 30c | 96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 641 | 23.4%150 W · 491 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Virtus.pro | 40c | 87.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 465 | 35.1%163 W · 302 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae2…47fdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 73.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…50d9backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7acb…8c1dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 61c | 65.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 64.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.04 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0808…3aafbacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 52.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4f…ce1fbacked Virtus.pro | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x687c…8c91backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…8b6cbacked Virtus.pro | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 45.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 203 | 61.6%125 W · 78 L | +22.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36a9…c1d3backed Virtus.pro | 79c | 45.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047a…941ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 40.7%96 W · 140 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…afe3backed Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d54…8d9abacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 34.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 393 | 51.1%201 W · 192 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa4…71c5backed Virtus.pro | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…922ebacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…1c72backed Xtreme Gaming | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro (BO3)Virtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.