Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71280c4935728b6204c6ef0646b52f86ad0eab742e30db1ddd1799176143c400
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $678,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $612,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $678,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 12c | 70,460$8,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,636.5 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 22c | 31,053$6,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,694.53 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 3c | 20,795$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.34 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 9c | 17,202$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.59 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 20c | 11,950$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 16c | 11,940$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.48 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed Yes | 24c | 10,278$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.16 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b2…865ebacked Yes | 16c | 10,087$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed No | 80c | 10,000$7,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…198fbacked Yes | 17c | 9,842$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 8,532$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.32 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…0f22backed Yes | 28c | 7,611$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…cb8bbacked Yes | 2c | 5,688$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe020…3455backed Yes | 1c | 5,467$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…7de4backed No | 66c | 5,172$3,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 60c | 5,000$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.53 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 9c | 3,946$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.43 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5f…4fe7backed Yes | 13c | 3,789$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…5941backed No | 78c | 3,760$2,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked Yes | 36c | 3,500$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.93 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…e53fbacked Yes | 13c | 3,447$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.13 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…de95backed Yes | 14c | 3,331$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…3c26backed No | 69c | 2,890$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked Yes | 17c | 2,855$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.01 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…f512backed Yes | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Yes | 18c | 2,646$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…2a2ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,614$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9035…ac58backed Yes | 33c | 2,576$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…050cbacked No | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 45c | 2,346$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.91 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…96ddbacked Yes | 3c | 2,337$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…f9f0backed Yes | 4c | 2,100$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…806ebacked Yes | 39c | 2,045$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…a6dbbacked Yes | 13c | 2,000$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…9ffebacked Yes | 31c | 1,999$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…6078backed Yes | 37c | 1,939$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3755…f2b0backed Yes | 6c | 1,814$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Yes | 35c | 1,778$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…9246backed Yes | 20c | 1,654$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc094…c8d4backed Yes | 3c | 1,589$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969a…3cc0backed Yes | 29c | 1,553$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,526$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 30c | 1,502$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.62 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65e7…89ffbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 9c | 1,400$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.35 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Yes | 29c | 1,368$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d6…5ba2backed Yes | 5c | 1,297$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f1…2dd9backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…1c24backed Yes | 51c | 1,199$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Yes | 25c | 1,133$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…6491backed Yes | 37c | 1,015$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…46e6backed Yes | 33c | 1,008$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…47f3backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b0…1f9abacked Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +162.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0989…1b82backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e01…2c8abacked Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +83%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…0e2ebacked Yes | 26c | 961$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…0f57backed Yes | 3c | 948.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed No | 59c | 894.92$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed No | 76c | 890$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…d5a8backed Yes | 7c | 882.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 23c | 832.24$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.93 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…a7d3backed No | 74c | 817.33$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.85 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed No | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 29c | 781$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.49 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Yes | 27c | 746.37$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.25 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c7…96c3backed Yes | 36c | 722.69$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed Yes | 35c | 707.14$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddb…0dbbbacked Yes | 29c | 700$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x943a…03eebacked Yes | 35c | 699.77$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…1339backed Yes | 44c | 689.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 71c | 648.19$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 79c | 610$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.08 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…90cfbacked Yes | 33c | 576.87$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e2…6585backed Yes | 15c | 560.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5262…d072backed Yes | 35c | 551.43$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…c1b7backed Yes | 6c | 529.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 3c | 512.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…b6dcbacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…728ebacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0b79backed Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5198…9700backed Yes | 30c | 500$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82e…afb1backed Yes | 33c | 499.73$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b0…35adbacked Yes | 19c | 495.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7633…1a22backed Yes | 31c | 490$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.7 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…3c7fbacked No | 64c | 469$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.69 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5598…3adbbacked Yes | 20c | 440$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed Yes | 10c | 420$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb30…257cbacked Yes | 7c | 414.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5738…5ca3backed No | 73c | 406.08$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…83ffbacked Yes | 32c | 400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 8c | 399.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc49…e9cfbacked Yes | 11c | 380$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 56c | 380$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d23…9565backed Yes | 9c | 340$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe389…459fbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…b41dbacked No | 64c | 312.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…a8b4backed Yes | 33c | 304$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 November 24-30?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 November 24-30?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 November 24-30?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 24-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.