Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 November 24-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3338a6f795cfa2520968b209a7ade029afcd6a3060ac6db83cacec37885ad0ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $405,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $382,941
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $405,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 16c | 24,396$4,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,020.48 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 6c | 20,999$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.88 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 8c | 18,199$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.95 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 5c | 16,147$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.77 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…3c26backed Yes | 21c | 14,620$3,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 18c | 13,399$2,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.86 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 11,521$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.05 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9c…a907backed Yes | 21c | 6,373$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b2…865ebacked Yes | 5c | 5,489$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…198fbacked Yes | 6c | 4,431$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Yes | 24c | 4,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c1…f6bebacked Yes | 9c | 4,142$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked Yes | 15c | 3,500$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.39 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 13c | 3,024$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.14 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes | 7c | 2,433$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.25 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5f…4fe7backed Yes | 2c | 2,299$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e0…b240backed No | 79c | 2,079$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Yes | 15c | 2,020$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…de6ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,982$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e2…6078backed Yes | 16c | 1,951$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…94e7backed Yes | 3c | 1,792$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Yes | 19c | 1,611$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…cb8bbacked No | 79c | 1,540$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e88…2a2ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,370$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4f…569cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,285$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,255$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…523ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,157$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b0…1f9abacked Yes | 12c | 1,144$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +162.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c7…96c3backed Yes | 21c | 1,093$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…96ddbacked Yes | 2c | 1,058$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd224…9f9bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,054$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3755…f2b0backed Yes | 2c | 918.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 12c | 662.79$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…d092backed Yes | 14c | 622.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 2c | 593.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…1fc3backed Yes | 12c | 523$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…35a7backed Yes | 6c | 501.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…728ebacked Yes | 12c | 499.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf4…680ebacked Yes | 20c | 499.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…9f1cbacked Yes | 21c | 480.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…1b61backed No | 79c | 461.25$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x392b…29d5backed Yes | 22c | 457.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 10c | 456.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…5eb2backed Yes | 17c | 405.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…9a18backed Yes | 14c | 400$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1376…24f5backed Yes | 12c | 395.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Yes | 12c | 375.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Yes | 11c | 348.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…8cd1backed Yes | 5c | 346.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5299…045abacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…800abacked Yes | 11c | 315.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.69 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Yes | 16c | 305.4$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bab…710abacked Yes | 15c | 284.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…466cbacked Yes | 15c | 272.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…7de4backed Yes | 10c | 239$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…a41abacked Yes | 14c | 221.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e7…89ffbacked Yes | 15c | 209.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 59 | 8.5%5 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b73…3d80backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bc…2ecdbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Yes | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 18cpaid | +178.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…f903backed Yes | 16c | 160.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5701…463abacked Yes | 9c | 149.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 79c | 143.28$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked Yes | 8c | 140$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…be59backed Yes | 22c | 130.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…e5fcbacked Yes | 15c | 130.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.62per pick | 13cpaid | +576.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x792f…a740backed Yes | 20c | 125.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x249b…5df1backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5598…3adbbacked Yes | 8c | 120$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…afddbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…b55ebacked No | 80c | 111.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…a7ddbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f85…e93cbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad65…84e6backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…04f3backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…38e6backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee5…5b0ebacked Yes | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…6e89backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ee…842cbacked Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…7dd2backed Yes | 14c | 97.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3f…81ecbacked Yes | 22c | 92.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x715c…30aabacked Yes | 12c | 89.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…cabebacked Yes | 13c | 86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386e…3463backed Yes | 13c | 86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95bc…b082backed Yes | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…e8c9backed Yes | 16c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8404…1553backed Yes | 22c | 72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8814…5cc0backed Yes | 15c | 69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…f956backed Yes | 19c | 66.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d93…1cafbacked Yes | 23c | 61.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2e…a66bbacked Yes | 18c | 55.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +150%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09f2…4ce6backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c06…dd56backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…9b14backed No | 79c | 17.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 November 24-30?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 November 24-30?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 November 24-30?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 November 24-30?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 24-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.