Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 24-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5626e85535ece8501346392e6a926541d6b906916a1d9f0d6205dc3d0fe98d67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $303,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $302,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x64ea…7ec5backed Yes | 0c | 23,499$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…3c26backed Yes | 23c | 13,640$3,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,123.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 16c | 13,111$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.02 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…04b9backed Yes | 2c | 9,073$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.41 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 25c | 9,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 75c | 7,778$5,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.57 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…ef88backed Yes | 1c | 7,139$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 49 | 4.1%2 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked No | 75c | 5,351$4,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.97 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…b60abacked Yes | 11c | 5,000$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9035…ac58backed Yes | 25c | 3,400$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7152…faacbacked Yes | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 0%0 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 41c | 2,076$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.11 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fe…9ffebacked Yes | 23c | 2,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…305bbacked Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,967$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +83%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…47f3backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked Yes | 31c | 1,000$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…46e6backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b0…1f9abacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 15cpaid | +162.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 23c | 938.03$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.87 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…025bbacked No | 73c | 905.04$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.37 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82e…afb1backed Yes | 15c | 857.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.06 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…f4ebbacked Yes | 2c | 853.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…3551backed Yes | 39c | 850$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…0e2ebacked Yes | 31c | 813$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb52…67ccbacked Yes | 2c | 799.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 19c | 731.03$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.97 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddb…0dbbbacked Yes | 26c | 700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x943a…03eebacked Yes | 24c | 699.48$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf412…3270backed Yes | 16c | 694.58$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.82 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55e…c136backed No | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 3c | 558.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…0b79backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…9ff1backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5198…9700backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…2363backed Yes | 23c | 450$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf87…708cbacked Yes | 2c | 445.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…f19dbacked Yes | 2c | 445.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ded…468dbacked Yes | 45c | 441.68$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd4…6ebcbacked Yes | 25c | 433.85$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e04…83ffbacked Yes | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…440abacked Yes | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5869…071dbacked No | 76c | 302.89$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…a8b4backed Yes | 27c | 299.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5738…5ca3backed No | 80c | 298.36$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.96 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed No | 76c | 296.71$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…4f28backed Yes | 20c | 242.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b8…7e39backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…b21bbacked Yes | 11c | 210$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…e77dbacked Yes | 7c | 203.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd62…4e29backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…62c0backed Yes | 21c | 193.35$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38aa…664dbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…7178backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a66…5b1bbacked No | 72c | 136.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked No | 78c | 128.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -8.8wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 76c | 107.05$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 20c | 104$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…90fbbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb9…0754backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe482…2b04backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf14b…6320backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa9…cac0backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…6e89backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b7…2bcfbacked Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c3…7dd2backed Yes | 20c | 98.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…47cbbacked Yes | 23c | 77.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…e060backed No | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…466cbacked Yes | 30c | 68.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae4…58b1backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fb…66b2backed No | 80c | 63.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…1d4abacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -45%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…f6debacked Yes | 39c | 54.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…7c9abacked No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x857a…bcbbbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed No | 76c | 39.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7118…1d50backed No | 78c | 31.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…a031backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77af…f959backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaae…4463backed No | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 24-30?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 November 24-30?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 November 24-30?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 November 24-30?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 24-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.