Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 November 24-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe44ac77c53ccb515bbfe1f09e22f75fd7d3832e253f8a5576faf0d1caf1f0859
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $374,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 41c | 25,000$10,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,370 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 49c | 20,042$9,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,321.42 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9288…8303backed No | 2c | 11,110$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 24c | 10,803$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,205.02 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 41c | 10,129$4,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,108.11 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…10a6backed No | 1c | 9,875$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1589…688bbacked No | 15c | 9,444$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 0c | 9,430$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…0f22backed Yes | 55c | 5,928$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,669.34 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked Yes | 70c | 5,629$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.6 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 31c | 5,215$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.18 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a4…8178backed No | 12c | 5,000$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 44c | 4,999$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.33 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd4…6ebcbacked No | 71c | 4,795$3,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,418.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed No | 6c | 4,223$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.09 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 50c | 4,051$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,033.3 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…f512backed Yes | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 70c | 2,648$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.93 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bf…95d3backed No | 38c | 2,642$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.1 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked No | 17c | 2,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.18 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…7de4backed No | 33c | 2,468$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 2,466$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.78 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c08…3ad5backed Yes | 78c | 2,389$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.93 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 24c | 2,200$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.45 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked No | 21c | 1,900$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…fd74backed Yes | 31c | 1,855$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…9ff1backed Yes | 43c | 1,800$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb646…0cf9backed No | 14c | 1,274$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Yes | 36c | 1,191$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.99 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 46c | 1,100$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed No | 17c | 1,037$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.58 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…df50backed No | 1c | 1,031$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed No | 69c | 949.98$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf61…401fbacked No | 3c | 899.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…b1d7backed Yes | 29c | 735.16$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +162.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 24c | 725.62$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.55 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed Yes | 69c | 713.77$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.27 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…3c7fbacked No | 12c | 632.25$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…cd03backed Yes | 73c | 622.72$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.75 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 8c | 600$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…1de5backed No | 12c | 576.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…de95backed Yes | 28c | 514.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed No | 15c | 506.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x950e…3a2cbacked No | 12c | 500.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked Yes | 69c | 493.43$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.34 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…d092backed Yes | 53c | 467.13$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…8ae5backed Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…a7d3backed No | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 58c | 395.09$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 65c | 393.87$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.2 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x233e…ca5ebacked No | 5c | 389.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e2…6585backed Yes | 74c | 364.3$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed No | 76c | 353$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.28 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc95…5eb2backed Yes | 57c | 350.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…cb8bbacked No | 65c | 346.56$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…440abacked Yes | 29c | 345$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 39c | 327.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.31 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…ecf2backed No | 16c | 312.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a4…adcdbacked Yes | 58c | 287.32$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…46b3backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc1…ea30backed No | 16c | 250$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…4f28backed No | 63c | 249.6$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…ac7abacked No | 22c | 238.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…e37cbacked No | 9c | 226.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f5…eaaebacked Yes | 58c | 217.28$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.31 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1a…c3b0backed No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebae…62c0backed Yes | 56c | 189.71$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked No | 17c | 187.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3f…86aebacked Yes | 78c | 180$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked No | 37c | 169.93$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.41 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…a031backed No | 40c | 163.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x95df…d4debacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…27a2backed Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…7994backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…208abacked No | 75c | 135$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x856d…3923backed Yes | 77c | 132$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…0e2dbacked No | 57c | 130$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb52…67ccbacked Yes | 35c | 130$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…d018backed Yes | 79c | 115.55$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…74a2backed No | 72c | 115.28$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd448…f700backed Yes | 65c | 114.52$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d1…59d1backed No | 18c | 113.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…4293backed Yes | 45c | 109.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed No | 26c | 109.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x593f…953abacked No | 18c | 108.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…c281backed No | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5515…835bbacked Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf717…702cbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…ab01backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 21c | 99.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Yes | 44c | 98$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5738…5ca3backed No | 57c | 97.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ce…fa37backed No | 15c | 95.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…d661backed No | 31c | 95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5299…045abacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 November 24-30?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 November 24-30?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 November 24-30?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 24-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.