Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 November 24-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe876a8e8405a459721d2c8ce730500e97447bff644484a420fdf8488970acacd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,383
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,757
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,383 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked No | 5c | 13,523$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.7 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 61c | 10,605$6,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.15 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 37c | 10,000$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,650 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…cf51backed No | 42c | 9,377$3,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,946.46 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…fdc6backed Yes | 57c | 8,000$4,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked Yes | 78c | 7,431$5,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.73 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked No | 45c | 7,128$3,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,172.6 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 0c | 5,597$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…bcd9backed Yes | 68c | 5,005$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 59c | 4,646$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…9ff1backed Yes | 56c | 4,531$2,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…050cbacked Yes | 54c | 4,500$2,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5884…9466backed Yes | 73c | 4,050$2,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 44c | 3,579$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.42 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 64c | 3,171$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.74 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 42c | 3,000$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.08 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 56c | 2,084$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 28c | 2,007$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.74 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…0f22backed Yes | 53c | 1,750$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bf…95d3backed No | 55c | 1,742$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.21 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…f512backed Yes | 62c | 1,618$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.74 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.95 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 45c | 1,476$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.93 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…5941backed No | 53c | 973.94$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…cd03backed Yes | 79c | 870$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.6 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 39c | 755.9$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e7…4f28backed Yes | 74c | 735.84$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.61 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…806ebacked No | 43c | 720.77$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0590…368dbacked No | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked No | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 46c | 536.27$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.06 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Yes | 59c | 509.99$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9134…3e25backed Yes | 54c | 500.72$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 45c | 469.08$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.11 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…04b9backed Yes | 55c | 450$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…e861backed No | 63c | 396.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5738…5ca3backed No | 38c | 389.17$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.23 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 76c | 349.46$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.87 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 64c | 309$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.59 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 62c | 300$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f5…eaaebacked Yes | 65c | 275.59$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.89 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2f…fe3ebacked Yes | 73c | 266.87$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7118…1d50backed No | 52c | 255.27$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7a…201abacked No | 40c | 252.82$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a8…7de4backed Yes | 46c | 248$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…f6debacked Yes | 50c | 216.13$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…d092backed Yes | 61c | 212.92$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -46%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a39…47cbbacked No | 36c | 201.87$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…a7d3backed No | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed Yes | 72c | 196.83$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Yes | 61c | 187.39$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…fe1bbacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a7…4293backed Yes | 58c | 167.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd4…6ebcbacked Yes | 63c | 165.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…ff3dbacked Yes | 66c | 151.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a3…c9a6backed Yes | 52c | 151.19$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c44…dd68backed Yes | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…c2c2backed No | 40c | 149.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5379…a031backed No | 46c | 132.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.97 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 43c | 119.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.85 | 116 | 19%22 W · 94 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -62%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf6…77d8backed Yes | 51c | 115.98$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf604…36b3backed Yes | 63c | 111.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6305…48fabacked Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3035…1f37backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…3f82backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…ab01backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5869…071dbacked Yes | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a0…2472backed Yes | 65c | 70$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d24…34a8backed Yes | 59c | 66.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…6cb0backed No | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x174f…4804backed No | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad6…3c44backed Yes | 64c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +86.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…3773backed Yes | 53c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526c…afe9backed Yes | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…3c7fbacked No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…7c9abacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6381…5ea2backed Yes | 62c | 48.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…2326backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…eac2backed Yes | 45c | 44.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x821f…2dfbbacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1154…624fbacked No | 57c | 42.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed No | 46c | 41.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…1fc9backed Yes | 58c | 41.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 76c | 37.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x0c32…3d89backed Yes | 65c | 36.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…18afbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1214…cf28backed No | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked No | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x386e…3463backed No | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…b1d7backed Yes | 51c | 29.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +162.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…466cbacked No | 48c | 28.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc7…98aabacked No | 48c | 27.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3395…408ebacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…93c7backed No | 43c | 25.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 November 24-30?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 November 24-30?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 November 24-30?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 November 24-30?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 November 24-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.