NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4f9d7f8b3799b7293ff4e516cdafc7eadbcd400587d7e48356410ecd9e927fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Pistons, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,564
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,564 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ae6…597abacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 10,870$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 7,160$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.6 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 55c | 6,876$3,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,803.2 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pistons | 54c | 6,618$3,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.26 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 5,370$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.18 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e2…9b0cbacked Pistons | 57c | 2,613$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pistons | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Pistons | 56c | 1,631$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.91 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb116…940abacked Trail Blazers | 69c | 1,200$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 808.57$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.8 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pistons | 40c | 748.01$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons | 24c | 700$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 682$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.92 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons | 56c | 646$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.76 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Trail Blazers | 39c | 581.97$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 56c | 521.71$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.16 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Pistons | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 563 | 48.5%273 W · 290 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09f…8049backed Trail Blazers | 61c | 278$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.42 | 666 | 45.9%306 W · 360 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 240$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Pistons | 56c | 223.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215c…30b8backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 203$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc91e…11c8backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 203$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6092…f6ddbacked Pistons | 54c | 193$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ca1fbacked Pistons | 54c | 193$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Pistons | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…bbabbacked Pistons | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5d…4c40backed Pistons | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…2332backed Pistons | 55c | 74.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Pistons | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 61.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 44c | 59.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76d…7c42backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 59.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe425…9405backed Pistons | 56c | 40.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…6250backed Pistons | 57c | 36.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa19f…f745backed Pistons | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…f9a1backed Pistons | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 350 | 52%182 W · 168 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…f12fbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Pistons | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22dd…cc0fbacked Pistons | 56c | 22.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Pistons | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)this page
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: O/U 237.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.