NBA · resolved market
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29c33127be4aad3e01db4b5160a46de76cff0cd24b484c5e9ffe3119a2acfaf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Pistons, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $763,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $763,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $763,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Pistons | 55c | 730,227$400,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400,000 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 276,146$124,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151,880.42 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 200,000$90,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,000 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 175,357$80,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,346.46 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 50,000$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,000 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,000 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Pistons | 51c | 12,764$6,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,515.04 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff8c…ba2dbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 4,898$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,497.96 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,533$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 50c | 2,349$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,817$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.58 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Pistons | 52c | 1,431$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.28 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 1,220$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.63 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,104$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.84 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 984.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.75 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Pistons | 36c | 942$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.72 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 900$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons | 51c | 881$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.01 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 845$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.57 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 829.8$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.5 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 783.1$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.18 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 627$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.04 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 568.52$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0468…a6afbacked Pistons | 55c | 444.56$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 382.1$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.1 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Pistons | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 357$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.92 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Pistons | 52c | 279.18$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.87 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Pistons | 50c | 222$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 220.69$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.55 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…972bbacked Pistons | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4b…14e2backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 193.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.34 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons | 51c | 189.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…6bb9backed Pistons | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 171.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.39 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…79f9backed Pistons | 55c | 145.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 48c | 132.19$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7347…bf18backed Pistons | 51c | 131.37$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 124$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…b468backed Pistons | 51c | 117.94$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked Pistons | 50c | 107.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 315 | 38.1%120 W · 195 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3736…b729backed Pistons | 51c | 105.88$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…128fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Pistons | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2013…df34backed Pistons | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e2…31e4backed Pistons | 52c | 96.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…6296backed Pistons | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Pistons | 51c | 93.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pistons | 48c | 89.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…d77ebacked Pistons | 54c | 53$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Pistons | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…2b53backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d3…08bcbacked Trail Blazers | 70c | 39.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffe…1bc9backed Pistons | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…4165backed Pistons | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…795ebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e07…3702backed Pistons | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…2e0cbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…f12fbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 34.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…97dfbacked Pistons | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…0732backed Pistons | 55c | 24.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 24.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7d…a54abacked Pistons | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 22.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449c…b07dbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 21.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…a17ebacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…5692backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…7c6cbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Pistons | 55c | 18.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Trail Blazers | 63c | 16.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)this page
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: O/U 237.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.