NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bad2baf67af64e3c275770b69dbb3de542d14e49619b002ac39717dd08a45b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Trail Blazers, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0967…8b13backed Trail Blazers | 32c | 156$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef55…7603backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 148$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a63…bc0cbacked Pistons | 68c | 146$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3268…f230backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 145$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…0158backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 142$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c8…4307backed Pistons | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…7f23backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 137$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…ea6bbacked Pistons | 67c | 137$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…58d6backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 136$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…3234backed Pistons | 67c | 134$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbd…db64backed Pistons | 67c | 126$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc4…33cbbacked Pistons | 67c | 122$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 634 | 27.3%173 W · 461 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d37…51e7backed Pistons | 69c | 27.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…efc0backed Pistons | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: 1H Moneylinethis page
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: O/U 237.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.