NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53344793d5411e16f022843a15840ba2eb5e1edec653324f3271b786eca7590f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x857c…cb02backed Over | 50c | 19,998$9,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,999.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Over | 50c | 16,634$8,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,316.98 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 50c | 13,297$6,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,648.5 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9005…96bbbacked Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 9,475$4,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,651.29 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 6,509$3,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.6 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a6…678abacked Under | 50c | 6,001$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe3…1654backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7119…45fabacked Under | 50c | 4,307$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…26d0backed Under | 50c | 3,550$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.5 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8567…514cbacked Under | 50c | 2,800$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…81aabacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…01b0backed Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 50c | 1,700$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.95 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,492$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.08 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 1,138$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0988…f6f9backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 369 | 43.4%160 W · 209 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc43c…1310backed Under | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 724$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Over | 47c | 625$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.25 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Over | 51c | 511.76$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.76 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 43c | 494.57$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.21 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 471.7$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…2b2abacked Under | 50c | 466$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 50c | 360.74$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.37 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Under | 51c | 354.9$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 350$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 49c | 268.69$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.03 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Under | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 220 | 53.6%118 W · 102 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee7…0ba8backed Over | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.06 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 45c | 141.5$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.83 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 801 | 48.3%387 W · 414 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…4740backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 236 | 42.4%100 W · 136 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56a…9ef1backed Over | 53c | 56.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Under | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 49.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…9f0ebacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 47c | 46.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 55c | 42.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 526 | 43%226 W · 300 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…ed2bbacked Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…53edbacked Over | 51c | 37.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…48b7backed Over | 51c | 28.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1374…867fbacked Over | 59c | 22.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 50c | 21.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 302 | 44%133 W · 169 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…dc93backed Under | 50c | 20.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddc…7b90backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…488bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 448 | 44.2%198 W · 250 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5this page
- Spread: Pistons (-6.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. PistonsPistons won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: 1H O/U 121.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: O/U 236.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: O/U 237.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.