Token Launches · resolved market
Will Hyperbeat launch a token in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74a49240f0219eef543fc2773d866c1f2c5e09dcbcb41ef642c299ed974ab461
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4dd…3046backed Yes | 66c | 2,474$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f65…1679backed No | 33c | 2,000$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.98 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…7c57backed Yes | 62c | 1,552$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ab…79d6backed Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1074…512abacked No | 15c | 1,135$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73cf…c9bebacked No | 15c | 1,114$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfae4…8a88backed No | 15c | 1,101$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…c23fbacked Yes | 61c | 1,099$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8a…628fbacked No | 40c | 1,072$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 66c | 1,069$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.39 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…cbc9backed No | 65c | 995.92$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 33c | 988.31$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.01 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb40d…37d9backed No | 54c | 919.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.62 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc48e…7708backed No | 45c | 775.21$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3094…8daabacked Yes | 65c | 737.51$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7533…2504backed No | 66c | 731.54$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0900…d924backed No | 38c | 662.23$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab0…1b0bbacked No | 65c | 611.92$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff03…7c3bbacked No | 38c | 566.98$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0a…4618backed No | 33c | 506.3$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.85 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…e225backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 47c | 498.75$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.84 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed No | 28c | 494.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.12 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 30c | 465.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…fc67backed No | 48c | 457.77$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.27 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf615…60adbacked No | 40c | 457.44$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6180…0addbacked Yes | 66c | 411.65$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc05f…9b56backed No | 30c | 403.08$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.08 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe657…b24fbacked Yes | 77c | 402.95$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.43 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.3wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 54c | 399.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.99 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfafb…27eabacked Yes | 55c | 380$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 32c | 379.18$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.18 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e4…03a5backed Yes | 69c | 370.96$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.58 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…ea33backed No | 38c | 370.53$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3063…dbb1backed No | 38c | 356.09$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 62c | 347.06$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.39 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc93…8b29backed No | 30c | 328.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.47 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 71c | 303.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…05eebacked No | 32c | 300$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 9c | 297.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -93.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked Yes | 17c | 290.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.45per pick | 14cpaid | +416.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2777…aff5backed Yes | 48c | 289.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…8bfabacked Yes | 70c | 284.6$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…be8cbacked Yes | 24c | 281.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 20c | 264.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.15 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 18c | 260.59$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c9…07ebbacked No | 19c | 260$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +173.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…7bf6backed No | 39c | 248.22$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.12 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +5.3wins | +0.38per pick | 27cpaid | +231.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…8211backed Yes | 54c | 237$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…6ad6backed No | 64c | 235.18$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…77d6backed Yes | 60c | 231.7$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 33c | 230.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.87 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaf…2833backed No | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Yes | 72c | 230.64$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.65 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -59%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe68f…b8d6backed Yes | 58c | 225$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 59c | 221.8$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.25 | 103 | 70.9%73 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed No | 80c | 218$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05da…1bbcbacked No | 47c | 213.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…6d39backed Yes | 68c | 200$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd66c…97e3backed No | 11c | 199.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.99 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4700…41cebacked No | 30c | 196.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…e829backed No | 11c | 186.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 42c | 184.52$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…f4bdbacked No | 16c | 183.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.29 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3913…9bddbacked No | 33c | 183.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.09 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 57c | 175.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…5ae4backed No | 17c | 173.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.16 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked Yes | 70c | 170.58$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…3e45backed No | 47c | 169.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b34…be64backed Yes | 74c | 168.07$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed No | 45c | 164$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92ad…9706backed No | 37c | 163.68$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 76c | 157.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.21 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 79c | 151.05$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…259dbacked No | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 32c | 146.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 53c | 143.57$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb622…e399backed Yes | 71c | 141.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 68cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e1…673cbacked No | 11c | 141.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +606.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5d…85dbbacked No | 14c | 141.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…28c0backed Yes | 69c | 140$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x874b…5bdfbacked No | 31c | 138.7$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde31…4f59backed No | 55c | 138.36$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed No | 39c | 131$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…0b02backed Yes | 62c | 130.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef5…5380backed Yes | 60c | 129.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed Yes | 55c | 129$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed No | 37c | 125$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed No | 53c | 118$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 44c | 113.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.18 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f52…a35abacked Yes | 20c | 109$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…cdc7backed No | 30c | 105$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.84 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…4f56backed No | 78c | 101.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +464.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…e7e6backed No | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…5261backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…42e0backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.