TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Nova Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nova Esportsof Nova Esports, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,195
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,240

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,195 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcfb8…b04cbacked Nova Esports10c9,210$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,2892100%2 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,650%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Bilibili Gaming1c3,300$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Nova Esports63c3,142$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.861637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bilibili Gaming45c2,652$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.9210743.9%47 W · 60 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Nova Esports46c2,204$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.831181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+51.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa99f…9c1ebacked Bilibili Gaming2c2,200$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2640%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5520…32ffbacked Bilibili Gaming2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Nova Esports29c1,957$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.526346%29 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Bilibili Gaming56c1,660$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.092272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+40.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Bilibili Gaming63c1,515$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$948.745244.2%23 W · 29 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-15%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Bilibili Gaming1c1,300$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13110%0 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2595…0412backed Nova Esports47c1,276$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b37…fcd6backed Bilibili Gaming4c1,200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4830%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aff…9200backed Nova Esports61c1,183$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.179139.6%36 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Nova Esports49c1,075$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.0779650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb74d…9b2abacked Bilibili Gaming2c1,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Bilibili Gaming62c999.66$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.44353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Bilibili Gaming67c957.21$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.43243.8%14 W · 18 L-6.0wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-29.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xace9…f74abacked Bilibili Gaming72c852.4$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-57.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked Bilibili Gaming63c744.32$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.446747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Bilibili Gaming62c645.16$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77e1…5924backed Bilibili Gaming4c600$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed Nova Esports35c598.6$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.0931232.7%102 W · 210 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Bilibili Gaming49c574.81$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.5439545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67b…c149backed Bilibili Gaming58c521.44$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30050%0 W · 5 L-2.8wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Nova Esports39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8229733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a65…9e1cbacked Bilibili Gaming2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed Nova Esports38c482.4$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.718438.1%32 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf38…0912backed Nova Esports70c428.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Nova Esports35c411.93$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.433046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Bilibili Gaming58c406.58$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.813438.2%13 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ab8dbacked Bilibili Gaming63c398.29$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.96933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-49.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed Bilibili Gaming62c389.23$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.631225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-43%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Bilibili Gaming66c375.86$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.897640.8%31 W · 45 L-14.7wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-38.6%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x5165…252bbacked Nova Esports78c340.27$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe475…9a24backed Bilibili Gaming62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Bilibili Gaming62c317.77$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.38812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.32per pick45cpaid-83.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Nova Esports38c299.99$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1865100%5 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+156.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Nova Esports37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.271752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Nova Esports42c237.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1384252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a1e…c2eabacked Nova Esports38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7433…c66cbacked Nova Esports37c181.58$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.03757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Bilibili Gaming22c181$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.821010%1 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick9cpaid+233.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9773…67e8backed Bilibili Gaming63c180$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d30…2645backed Bilibili Gaming63c150$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d54…8d9abacked Nova Esports38c138.83$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+162.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Bilibili Gaming72c133.58$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.189051.1%46 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8b…1610backed Nova Esports75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a00…4322backed Nova Esports47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3d8…c8c0backed Bilibili Gaming63c120$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3379…776abacked Bilibili Gaming52c107.98$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40f…8dcfbacked Bilibili Gaming53c105$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71bc…79a8backed Bilibili Gaming66c96.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Bilibili Gaming62c95$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19f…f745backed Bilibili Gaming65c92.87$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick64cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Nova Esports42c91.21$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+91.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Nova Esports65c80$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285749.1%28 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2bd4…ea9abacked Bilibili Gaming50c73.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a74…c3e4backed Nova Esports40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Nova Esports37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+74%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nova Esports48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.234847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92bf…0297backed Nova Esports37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90eb…68dfbacked Bilibili Gaming29c56.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe83…5c7fbacked Bilibili Gaming40c55.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.185538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6bd6…e87dbacked Nova Esports52c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa65b…b0c0backed Bilibili Gaming62c53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.86540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce42…5cddbacked Bilibili Gaming65c50.29$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.695856.9%33 W · 25 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50ef…ed27backed Nova Esports37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Bilibili Gaming25c49.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.52147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6489…71ebbacked Nova Esports38c45.03$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+49.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Nova Esports36c40$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.619943.7%87 W · 112 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed Bilibili Gaming62c36.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.658053.8%43 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Bilibili Gaming63c36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc088…0809backed Bilibili Gaming46c35.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-42.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed Bilibili Gaming57c35.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6794…c10dbacked Bilibili Gaming63c34.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.36540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8835…472cbacked Bilibili Gaming63c33.41$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Nova Esports40c30.26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.261330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nova Esports45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.514957.7%86 W · 63 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa48…9062backed Nova Esports37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb780…e7a2backed Nova Esports37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+97.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Nova Esports37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9840…cb31backed Nova Esports37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c4f…73a6backed Nova Esports37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ae…2bfebacked Nova Esports37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Nova Esports35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.527411.3%31 W · 243 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x373a…668abacked Nova Esports37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e8…4facbacked Nova Esports37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe1…e560backed Nova Esports37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.93100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+78.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8204…61d9backed Nova Esports37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed Nova Esports37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff91…5126backed Nova Esports39c29.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.35785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick54cpaid+58%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe70a…6a5cbacked Bilibili Gaming63c29.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e44…3cefbacked Nova Esports38c29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb7d…d9dfbacked Bilibili Gaming64c27.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x50ad…2c48backed Nova Esports38c27$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+94.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96e9…4b32backed Bilibili Gaming75c26.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9270…7c9ebacked Bilibili Gaming50c24.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.351233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf051…a54cbacked Bilibili Gaming64c22.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.731758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedfd…1432backed Bilibili Gaming65c20.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.542343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.