TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$350,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$411,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,987 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No33c47,074$15,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,406.166,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes55c40,919$22,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,522.876357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes53c35,000$18,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,449.9831947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No46c24,986$11,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,493.4620140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes54c19,296$10,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,843.9920039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No45c16,843$7,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,579.4530851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No47c14,731$6,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,923.4621154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes57c14,099$8,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,026.8327235.7%97 W · 175 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…587fbacked Yes54c10,364$5,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,767.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62f2…61acbacked No46c10,345$4,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,758.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No45c9,500$4,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,274.9810455.8%58 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10c7…d748backed Yes54c8,670$4,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,988.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33a0…9f62backed No46c8,670$3,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,988.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No8c8,287$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.4156453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No16c7,119$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.284,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No2c6,225$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.976015%9 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-66.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked No46c6,165$2,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,836.0715049.3%74 W · 76 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Yes52c5,000$2,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,395.614250%21 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes54c5,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3001030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-46.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11be…cbabbacked No47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3501136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No14c4,661$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.1751542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No46c4,000$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84817837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No47c3,600$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,691.9937054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27d3…0430backed Yes54c3,500$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6102100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+148.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xced7…39d5backed No47c3,500$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,64520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3770…8229backed No47c3,300$1,551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,55120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6582…6533backed Yes54c3,300$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5182100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+148.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f7…c6b5backed Yes54c3,000$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3802100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+148.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3538…f361backed No47c3,000$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,41020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed No47c2,957$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.683644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa05b…a94fbacked No2c2,365$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.0630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No50c2,238$1,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,114.81,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No46c2,093$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.7835758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf25d…1134backed No46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9201030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c85…cfecbacked Yes54c1,900$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8742100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79d…4350backed Yes75c1,594$1,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.482642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18b6…7b4fbacked Yes54c1,583$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be7…4690backed No47c1,582$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.62425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33f5…c156backed No47c1,554$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45a2…73c6backed Yes54c1,553$839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-38.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes50c1,525$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.518958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes53c1,036$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.9515060.7%91 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No40c1,017$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.8110426.9%28 W · 76 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked No46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$460650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+135.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4705942.4%25 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47021656.9%123 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No47c999.98$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9940046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdda2…4375backed No46c999.97$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No46c992$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.971,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes54c889.89$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.3522125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No44c869.52$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.5948150.9%245 W · 236 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No50c811.02$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.8731655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46c6…a48ebacked Yes74c758.11$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.113450%17 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes53c600.08$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.0440953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes54c595.09$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.0924630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3357…42fabacked No47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2351040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Yes54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.965848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcce…099fbacked Yes55c450.49$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.72333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaead…6695backed No5c434.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Yes54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…11c0backed Yes52c380$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.62040%8 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e0…4983backed Yes54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.37966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.377451.4%38 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.372748.1%13 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac45…ea33backed Yes54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.372572%18 W · 7 L+7.1wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+88.6%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.378137%30 W · 51 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4762…dc1bbacked No10c360$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-62.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No35c347.43$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.81,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a0f…ed5fbacked No46c340$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbf7…9732backed Yes53c340$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No46c333$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.1821548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13530149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed No45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353941%16 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No46c293.36$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9515764.3%101 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes53c291.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.6168942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb78…cff7backed Yes72c250.99$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No9c213.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2427454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Yes54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569941.4%41 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed No10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.993724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No47c197.14$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9127141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6d…58f6backed Yes53c188$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.362948.3%14 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick67cpaid-32.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf1f9…01b0backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+98%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…db98backed No27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507737.7%29 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fa6…b9efbacked Yes56c178.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No17c176.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6657744.4%256 W · 321 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes54c165.16$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.169357%53 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed No47c162.01$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.152429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-44.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6913641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.155745.6%26 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.154148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Yes54c148.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.157136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No44c136$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8483459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes54c130.17$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8849254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03bf…a94bbacked Yes50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes54c114.44$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.645448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Yes65c107.43$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.64168.3%28 W · 13 L+8.2wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+73.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x8784…f1aebacked No48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c61…5213backed No48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.