Premier League · resolved market
Will Leeds United vs. West Ham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99e3093706de6d738f6ed2f4db939558002f6cf5914226ccfccdedbfd6c93d03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Yes | 14c | 16,051$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.57 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 73c | 8,676$6,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.42 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 7,500$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 386 | 49%189 W · 197 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…cebcbacked Yes | 26c | 6,150$1,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616c…2ef3backed Yes | 26c | 4,230$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f33…f105backed No | 74c | 4,053$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3643…27c0backed Yes | 28c | 4,000$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7423…8e0abacked No | 74c | 3,242$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…e5d1backed No | 74c | 2,702$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,365$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.26 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 74c | 2,222$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.68 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 74c | 1,875$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.5 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…a48dbacked No | 74c | 1,582$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc446…c175backed Yes | 27c | 1,581$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,566$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 73c | 1,521$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.58 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 19c | 1,270$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.25 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 73c | 1,088$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.69 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 73c | 989.58$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.19 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 27c | 919.88$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…c443backed Yes | 4c | 618.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Yes | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 73c | 522.42$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.05 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a4…2f08backed Yes | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 322 | 22.4%72 W · 250 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…17c0backed No | 72c | 499.97$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.99 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 73c | 429$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.83 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 28c | 389.82$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 28c | 357.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 34.9%60 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 8c | 319.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1760…3f3cbacked Yes | 7c | 275$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…c73bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 74c | 233.44$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 27c | 221.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed No | 74c | 217$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b99…4b3abacked Yes | 27c | 192.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9539…e9bbbacked Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9775…8746backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…ef6abacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 135.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Yes | 14c | 135$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857b…8eeebacked Yes | 13c | 107.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Yes | 26c | 95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 73c | 79.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…2791backed Yes | 26c | 79.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…cfbbbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 28c | 71.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 26c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 73c | 59.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Yes | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 74c | 41.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567b…27d7backed No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…d6d7backed Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 72c | 37.64$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x808b…48c8backed Yes | 27c | 37.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…2257backed No | 74c | 36.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x557f…efa5backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 356 | 61.2%218 W · 138 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…c02abacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x167c…a88bbacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…f46ebacked No | 74c | 16.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfa…bfe0backed No | 74c | 14.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leeds United vs. West Ham end in a draw?this page
- Will Leeds United win on 2025-10-24?Yes won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-10-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.