NFL · resolved market
Spread: LAR (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0faba96f42d2e21f7c6dbb348b8ecc3734372d306efb0d636612cf4da06f2a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof LAR, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $537,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $541,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $537,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Panthers | 53c | 218,135$115,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,523.57 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed LAR | 47c | 175,937$82,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,678.21 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Panthers | 52c | 77,000$40,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,609.98 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed LAR | 47c | 74,565$34,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,799.95 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Panthers | 53c | 60,000$31,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,199.99 | 111 | 68.5%76 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Panthers | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,500 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked LAR | 47c | 39,690$18,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,654.3 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed LAR | 48c | 24,242$11,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,635.82 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Panthers | 54c | 23,976$12,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,067.74 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed LAR | 48c | 19,844$9,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,546.27 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed LAR | 50c | 15,955$7,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,899 | 181 | 40.9%74 W · 107 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…34e3backed LAR | 47c | 11,057$5,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,196.56 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed LAR | 48c | 11,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Panthers | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed LAR | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.99 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed LAR | 48c | 9,985$4,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,792.8 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked LAR | 47c | 9,826$4,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,618.04 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Panthers | 52c | 9,000$4,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,365 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked LAR | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Panthers | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Panthers | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.99 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panthers | 50c | 5,939$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.31 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Panthers | 53c | 5,555$2,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.84 | 240 | 56.7%136 W · 104 L | +19.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Panthers | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed LAR | 48c | 4,500$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf4…8860backed Panthers | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Panthers | 51c | 3,864$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.27 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Panthers | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.99 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed LAR | 48c | 3,125$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked LAR | 47c | 3,045$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.15 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Panthers | 51c | 2,967$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.27 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed LAR | 48c | 2,620$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.18 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed LAR | 50c | 2,132$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.68 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Panthers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Panthers | 54c | 1,912$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.32 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked LAR | 47c | 1,660$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x631e…f0acbacked Panthers | 54c | 1,644$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.44 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Panthers | 50c | 1,624$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Panthers | 51c | 1,600$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked LAR | 28c | 1,126$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.81 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked LAR | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked LAR | 50c | 1,002$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Panthers | 53c | 1,000$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Panthers | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Panthers | 52c | 961.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.52 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…0e3fbacked Panthers | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed LAR | 48c | 895.42$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.8 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked LAR | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Panthers | 53c | 699.99$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.99 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed LAR | 48c | 677.27$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.09 | 230 | 24.3%56 W · 174 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed78…f62bbacked LAR | 49c | 673.47$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13e…c564backed Panthers | 52c | 666$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.46 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Panthers | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked LAR | 49c | 555$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.95 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panthers | 65c | 503.48$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.73 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed LAR | 47c | 474.47$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked LAR | 48c | 440$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Panthers | 69c | 418.41$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed LAR | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Panthers | 54c | 372.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.22 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb376…f6a0backed LAR | 31c | 310.13$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…f0b8backed LAR | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed LAR | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 280 | 47.5%133 W · 147 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Panthers | 51c | 295.96$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.02 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…50a7backed LAR | 48c | 291.17$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.76 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…fe48backed Panthers | 51c | 264.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed LAR | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 206 | 50.5%104 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…aad0backed LAR | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed LAR | 47c | 210.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…bc84backed Panthers | 52c | 209.62$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c2…85f2backed LAR | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…8416backed LAR | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked LAR | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Panthers | 51c | 204$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed LAR | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 203 | 54.7%111 W · 92 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed LAR | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked LAR | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed LAR | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed LAR | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…9871backed Panthers | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Panthers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked LAR | 47c | 177.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed LAR | 47c | 175$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…6d22backed LAR | 49c | 171.78$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e6…a514backed LAR | 48c | 163.38$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed LAR | 47c | 160$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed LAR | 47c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Panthers | 53c | 147.17$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…5897backed Panthers | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fee…9589backed LAR | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee1b…5d2cbacked LAR | 48c | 141.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…8912backed LAR | 48c | 139$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae7…cf61backed LAR | 49c | 138.78$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabdf…3cbcbacked LAR | 48c | 137.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46e5…4c5ebacked Panthers | 53c | 132$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c00fbacked LAR | 48c | 125.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…5a71backed LAR | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…614abacked LAR | 48c | 105.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf782…6849backed Panthers | 51c | 105.27$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6941…efd5backed LAR | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: LAR (-10.5)this page
- LAR vs. PanthersPanthers won
- LAR vs. Panthers: 1H MoneylineLAR won
- LAR vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5Over won
- LAR vs. Panthers: O/U 45.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.