TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9fee…9589

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 53 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.85
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$37.64
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+203%+$120.76
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20.91
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Suns vs. Heatbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$55.88
Magic vs. Knicksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$38.41
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Pacers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+92.3%+$64.6
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-55.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
Brewers vs. Padresbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$122.97
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-53.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 27, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$78
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US shelter-in-place order lifted in Jalisco by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+212.5%+$136
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$62.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$36.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.