TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Pacers, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$394,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$400,666

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 719 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Pacers49c66,493$32,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,757.3647656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Hawks51c33,445$17,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,403.7922049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Pacers6c23,291$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.988337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Hawks46c12,374$5,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,711.3880146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Pacers36c12,368$4,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,504.3533931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Hawks73c11,979$8,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,180.4934532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks38c8,203$3,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,092.223,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Pacers57c6,434$3,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,667.4325833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Hawks43c6,400$2,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,64817546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e95…8afcbacked Pacers0c6,120$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks40c6,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6001,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Pacers47c5,700$2,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,67929738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Hawks33c5,620$1,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,753.4731125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Pacers55c4,531$2,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,477.351,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pacers55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.9796447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfca5…5d4fbacked Pacers59c3,900$2,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,310.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Hawks50c3,860$1,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.5119152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Pacers50c3,556$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.9211753%62 W · 55 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dc1…2f91backed Pacers60c3,512$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Pacers0c3,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Pacers56c2,965$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,654.763151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Hawks44c2,719$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.726253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Hawks41c2,191$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.7437448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Pacers60c2,178$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.8633752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pacers64c2,151$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.7649849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pacers54c2,102$1,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,142.0261345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Hawks44c2,100$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.993435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Hawks41c2,066$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.6450245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pacers58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.991,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Hawks40c1,943$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.89836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…53e6backed Pacers58c1,766$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b31…77f3backed Pacers58c1,750$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28c0…b220backed Pacers59c1,725$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f68…2812backed Pacers59c1,718$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pacers55c1,700$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9351,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe488…df71backed Pacers58c1,677$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Pacers1c1,661$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.717502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bc…5c97backed Pacers59c1,660$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Pacers61c1,651$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Pacers58c1,617$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.8128347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pacers7c1,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.088783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Hawks40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9920153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9244…b955backed Pacers59c1,500$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb37c…164ebacked Hawks41c1,499$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.411040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Pacers56c1,419$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.4546342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea8…d2a2backed Hawks41c1,315$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hawks46c1,306$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.752,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…2760backed Hawks38c1,300$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.7531935.1%112 W · 207 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8a…237abacked Hawks41c1,300$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ba1…95eebacked Hawks43c1,273$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb928…5fd7backed Hawks43c1,228$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.457451.4%38 W · 36 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2797…7f45backed Hawks42c1,186$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…8dddbacked Hawks42c1,181$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+140.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d4…ebd6backed Hawks42c1,163$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pacers56c1,161$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.1677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5444…26b1backed Hawks40c1,130$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6782352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71da…35adbacked Pacers59c1,126$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.71850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pacers54c1,083$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.181,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd450…bab2backed Hawks33c1,078$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+205.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks53c1,024$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.3576249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Pacers59c1,022$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60526934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Pacers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Pacers50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Pacers60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60024855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Pacers51c984.31$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017363.6%110 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Hawks56c968.96$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.3426431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdb1…4253backed Pacers47c960.27$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.143151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks49c908.97$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.825,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed Pacers59c906.77$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.994050%20 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Pacers61c823.74$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6929…0e4bbacked Hawks43c819.11$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.116253.2%33 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Pacers58c797.02$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.1770951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hawks40c762.89$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.1173051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Pacers60c710.87$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43025865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Pacers60c679.43$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.6613929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Pacers61c655.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Hawks37c632$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.1268642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Hawks38c630.96$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.756245.2%28 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb8…43f6backed Hawks33c620$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.47236.1%26 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2150…7afcbacked Pacers49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd3c…9169backed Hawks43c610$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f1c…c841backed Hawks44c610$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8740…c0c0backed Hawks42c602$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcea9…da9abacked Hawks44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Hawks40c600$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc86…52b6backed Hawks42c585.71$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf623…a01abacked Hawks43c581.8$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…7346backed Hawks42c580.95$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2ae…082ebacked Hawks44c579.55$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a16…4481backed Hawks42c576.19$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eaa…a02ebacked Hawks44c560.3$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6de5…6197backed Hawks43c558.14$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x364b…6a71backed Hawks42c557.14$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b6…0fbcbacked Hawks43c555.78$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Hawks40c550$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33019845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9119…23b9backed Hawks42c550$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3191100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x110f…f6f6backed Hawks43c548$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x686b…e1ffbacked Hawks44c545$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eb0…98aabacked Hawks44c542.77$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842d…9855backed Hawks43c540$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.