MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ffbbe9d5909dc55a7d2f43456b4816f7b98f96597e282f2e6d7f8099e346c9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,891,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,991,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,891,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 600 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7435…a620backed Brewers | 51c | 598,125$304,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293,281.32 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Brewers | 45c | 580,349$262,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317,917.82 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 54c | 496,723$266,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266,694.63 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Padres | 54c | 185,262$100,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,724.46 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Padres | 56c | 129,523$72,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,532.66 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres | 55c | 80,000$44,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,100 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Padres | 56c | 76,018$42,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,570.05 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Padres | 57c | 73,680$41,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,769.8 | 114 | 56.1%64 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Padres | 56c | 68,200$38,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,192 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Padres | 55c | 60,000$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Brewers | 47c | 52,835$24,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,846.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Padres | 55c | 50,427$27,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,708.77 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Padres | 54c | 44,000$23,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,945.26 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Padres | 56c | 35,000$19,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,600 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 47c | 32,625$15,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,447.07 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Brewers | 47c | 32,526$15,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,239 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Padres | 54c | 30,000$16,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,199.99 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Brewers | 44c | 29,124$12,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,309.44 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -11.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers | 44c | 25,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,000 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Padres | 55c | 24,787$13,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,749.4 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Brewers | 45c | 23,915$10,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,112.2 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…0aacbacked Padres | 56c | 23,675$13,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,258 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Padres | 54c | 19,385$10,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,467.06 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Padres | 40c | 18,766$7,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,582.16 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Brewers | 46c | 17,861$8,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,644.77 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Padres | 54c | 16,350$8,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,829 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | +16.4wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Padres | 56c | 16,030$8,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,976.8 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbb…374abacked Padres | 30c | 15,458$4,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,643.18 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Padres | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Brewers | 45c | 9,880$4,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,434.04 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Padres | 57c | 9,389$5,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,335 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Brewers | 44c | 9,238$4,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,129.74 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Padres | 56c | 9,040$5,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,062.4 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d75…74a5backed Padres | 57c | 8,772$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Brewers | 44c | 7,559$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,267.5 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Padres | 54c | 7,500$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Brewers | 45c | 7,333$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,033.33 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Brewers | 46c | 7,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Brewers | 61c | 6,964$4,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,688.18 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Brewers | 56c | 6,778$3,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.78 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Padres | 53c | 6,159$3,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,264.15 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Padres | 56c | 6,047$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,386.37 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Brewers | 45c | 5,992$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,295.48 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Brewers | 43c | 5,803$2,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,307.71 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Padres | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.7 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 54c | 5,547$3,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,010.6 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Brewers | 49c | 5,130$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.29 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d57…d7ffbacked Brewers | 45c | 5,014$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.69 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Padres | 52c | 4,346$2,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Brewers | 67c | 4,200$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Brewers | 40c | 4,179$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.3 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…f94abacked Padres | 55c | 4,005$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.75 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d67…7a40backed Brewers | 66c | 3,986$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Padres | 48c | 3,910$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.01 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Padres | 55c | 3,733$2,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,053.21 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f73…8d13backed Padres | 55c | 3,625$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.21 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 46c | 3,623$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.39 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Padres | 14c | 3,314$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.92 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Padres | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Brewers | 43c | 2,987$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.66 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Brewers | 48c | 2,851$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.74 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Brewers | 47c | 2,834$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.62 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 42c | 2,641$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.91 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Padres | 51c | 2,439$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.88 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Brewers | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.58 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Brewers | 70c | 2,232$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.29 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Padres | 51c | 2,172$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ce…f74dbacked Padres | 32c | 2,158$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.6 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Brewers | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Padres | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Brewers | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 28c | 1,993$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.05 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 45c | 1,962$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.19 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Padres | 26c | 1,905$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.67 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Padres | 44c | 1,825$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Padres | 56c | 1,820$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Padres | 52c | 1,767$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.89 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Padres | 31c | 1,700$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.2 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…47c1backed Brewers | 60c | 1,664$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.92 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -10.5wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Brewers | 48c | 1,551$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.25 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Brewers | 45c | 1,484$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.1 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Padres | 54c | 1,469$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.28 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Brewers | 56c | 1,349$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.44 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7297…814ebacked Padres | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Brewers | 45c | 1,188$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.33 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Brewers | 44c | 1,157$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.13 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 22c | 1,114$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.72 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Padres | 38c | 1,101$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.89 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6979…d7a2backed Padres | 50c | 1,090$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.9 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Brewers | 46c | 1,078$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.78 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Padres | 54c | 1,057$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.93 | 413 | 46.7%193 W · 220 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…8389backed Brewers | 47c | 1,021$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Brewers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Brewers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Padres | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Padres | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbf…4953backed Brewers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc91d…ebd1backed Padres | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Brewers | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2758…66e1backed Padres | 54c | 999.97$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brewers vs. Padresthis page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.