Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5ce50b48dd595b08c6832714751dde43addc2f31eb8d1a63a30a7b59ed8b749
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,910
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,910 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 51c | 29,504$15,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,433.43 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa56d…9a34backed Yes | 53c | 20,894$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,894.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 48c | 20,614$9,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,964.94 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed No | 30c | 18,290$5,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,544.91 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…7bd8backed No | 49c | 13,992$6,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,916.08 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 47c | 10,252$4,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,772.19 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 6c | 7,627$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.63 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.96 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7724backed Yes | 52c | 5,547$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,658.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 48c | 4,500$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed No | 52c | 4,185$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.31 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 48c | 3,134$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.49 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked No | 52c | 2,632$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380.2 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 49c | 2,359$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.84 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…cf55backed Yes | 49c | 2,237$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…26b1backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.97 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…4788backed Yes | 49c | 1,999$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Yes | 48c | 1,601$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.26 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…66d8backed Yes | 51c | 1,417$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 50c | 1,401$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.08 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 49c | 1,299$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.25 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 49c | 1,273$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.74 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Yes | 48c | 1,148$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.05 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 77c | 1,117$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.1 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…dafdbacked Yes | 49c | 1,069$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.43 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 50c | 1,006$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0583…054dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed No | 56c | 898.21$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 51c | 817.65$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.65 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cad…d424backed Yes | 49c | 812.83$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 51c | 767.63$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.3 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 50c | 749.5$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.75 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 49c | 606$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed No | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed No | 3c | 468.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Yes | 48c | 456.88$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.58 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 48c | 434.35$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.79 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 50c | 405.11$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.15 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…6a2abacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Yes | 48c | 387.19$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1741…cffbbacked No | 51c | 346.55$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes | 48c | 266.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.08 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 49c | 249.73$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.36 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cd…844dbacked Yes | 52c | 235.6$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x225c…863ebacked Yes | 51c | 230$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed No | 45c | 227.14$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 49c | 225.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.09 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c7…2954backed No | 49c | 225$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdc…6f0abacked Yes | 51c | 220$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Yes | 48c | 212.25$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.37 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…6d31backed No | 49c | 210$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f8…a7d2backed No | 51c | 206.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 51c | 205.89$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c1…7380backed No | 51c | 203.85$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed No | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…e6b2backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…bc97backed No | 52c | 199.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…5209backed Yes | 51c | 197$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…0989backed No | 51c | 195.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 52c | 193$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 49c | 184$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 11c | 177.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…04cdbacked Yes | 51c | 177$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 48c | 161.15$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fee…9589backed No | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 78c | 141.62$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…352cbacked Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908d…b6aebacked Yes | 74c | 139.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde3c…020cbacked No | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f5…e0d0backed Yes | 48c | 133.96$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…9483backed Yes | 53c | 125.79$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…427dbacked No | 48c | 123.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684a…1b69backed Yes | 51c | 123.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa0…e7cfbacked Yes | 72c | 123.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91db…666abacked No | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 50c | 119.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…a0b3backed Yes | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x235a…b3b8backed Yes | 48c | 114.48$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d50…40acbacked Yes | 49c | 108.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd6…c621backed Yes | 50c | 107.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f4…0d7bbacked No | 51c | 106.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f37…5b70backed No | 48c | 105.75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f43…efd4backed Yes | 50c | 105.34$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5daa…1178backed No | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…6aa1backed No | 52c | 104.94$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…1cf6backed Yes | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…b0bcbacked Yes | 50c | 103.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfa…f9b2backed No | 51c | 103.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b5…f69fbacked Yes | 53c | 103.13$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf43a…8254backed Yes | 49c | 103.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…3583backed Yes | 51c | 102.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…57ebbacked Yes | 49c | 100.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda9…3d16backed No | 51c | 100.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-15?this page
- Will Manchester City vs. Newcastle end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.