TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,384
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,519

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,384 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes26c17,989$4,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7199235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed No72c4,932$3,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.985550.9%28 W · 27 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick63cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No70c4,781$3,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.2713547.4%64 W · 71 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No76c4,183$3,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.989754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes30c3,560$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.011241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Yes1c3,311$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1114732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes28c2,522$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.9268026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked No73c1,970$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.45650%28 W · 28 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes24c1,912$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.7279650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No69c1,594$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.0679639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No73c1,569$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.7183459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes30c1,227$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37418433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b2…66d8backed No73c1,181$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.78933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-40.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eae…f263backed Yes28c1,086$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009037.8%34 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No72c1,036$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.0516660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5efc…9b2abacked Yes29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+22.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fa1…591abacked Yes32c959$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.883119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-64.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb9b9…525abacked Yes6c728.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes31c700$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21732736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85c3…269bbacked No75c700$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.024362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes27c561.4$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Yes24c500$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8175…e4b8backed Yes31c490.49$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.551643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes23c484.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2540135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e0…14adbacked Yes31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No71c478$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0390751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No73c466.71$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.5724566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa79c…36c6backed Yes24c416.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004045%18 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No72c339.74$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0781559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9338645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes28c295.15$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.647146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed No69c273$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.6317447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78a5…50b7backed Yes28c267.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked No73c252.27$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.112733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Yes27c250$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.55536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdba…3e7abacked Yes27c249.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes21c241.15$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6417837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0717…cda4backed Yes26c228.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36cc…9e29backed Yes29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+156.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7f…1bd6backed Yes29c181.64$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.68911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-66.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Yes28c171.43$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes27c150$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Yes24c147.79$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.174645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes23c110$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.33237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7137…6507backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked No71c103$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.879858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedb…3de3backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281030%3 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8219…f1fabacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305438.9%21 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234566.7%30 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes28c98.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.664139%16 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72f1…670cbacked No76c90.61$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b46…7c2fbacked Yes28c89.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9da9…5257backed No73c89.04$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf720…4599backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes30c84.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.54055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes23c84.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.46045%27 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc9…7870backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9d…a8f9backed No73c79.45$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.451241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06a…0fb2backed Yes28c78.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-22.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb30c…7ab2backed No73c77.73$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.992360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a74…57dcbacked Yes27c74.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa303…6933backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b5…f69fbacked No76c70.53$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes22c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.46628.8%19 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204858.3%28 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+38.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf7ec…a00fbacked No76c67.96$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1673…e40dbacked Yes26c65.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172548%12 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No73c62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7465557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No72c57$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5554…32d8backed No73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc78b…3f7ebacked Yes28c54.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1180…bfd5backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc826…e03cbacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-50.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x92a0…4831backed Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb36a…6814backed No72c47.31$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7266…05cbbacked Yes27c47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No71c46.2$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.412965.1%84 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2491…bd80backed No73c33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27bc…3fecbacked No79c25.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.322100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No77c23.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3969772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2ed1…1240backed No73c21.92$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.922774.1%20 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf54e…0950backed No73c15.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.07366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.