TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb373…c00f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$41.98
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.8
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Rockets vs. Magicbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$62.45
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$38.22
Pacers vs. Bucksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$59.32
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40.08
Celtics vs. Raptorsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+69.5%+$34.74
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$34.53
Kings vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$29.52
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-72.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.72
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$56.51
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Flyersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+92.3%+$42.88
Flames vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$47
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+82.1%+$34.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.