Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9e2673eb0743501d83dfd2f25c0de3f6e598656e7a3f3242b8412cd90073d55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Under | 48c | 3,035$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 58c | 2,951$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.76 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 1,354$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.69 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6785…98c3backed Over | 39c | 1,098$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 925.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.02 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 70c | 686.14$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.93 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 684.74$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.99 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 647.57$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.38 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Under | 73c | 633.41$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 46c | 580.56$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 24c | 343.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.48 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 30c | 335.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 59c | 303.76$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.54 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 17c | 279.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3b…5a53backed Over | 59c | 226.95$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 42c | 199.27$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed Under | 49c | 181.69$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Under | 56c | 174.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…e7e0backed Over | 44c | 164.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…0da5backed Over | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 46c | 144.47$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 68c | 131.12$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 35c | 117.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.58 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 99.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.83 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 36c | 91.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…408abacked Under | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c00fbacked Under | 55c | 76.5$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a1…3924backed Over | 22c | 64.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 53c | 63.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 45c | 59.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 28c | 54.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 21c | 48.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Over | 26c | 47.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 75c | 40.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…6c60backed Over | 43c | 35.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 42c | 34.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Over | 61c | 25.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 50c | 21.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Khaleej Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Khaleej Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Khaleej Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.