Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb903086c5b129c1fab63015bf80704f64b65b781caac627daabf7f7dcd1a807c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 48c | 1,860$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 1,654$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.8 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 78c | 1,380$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.71 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 1,153$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.18 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Over | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.59 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 22c | 793.78$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.01 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 716.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 51c | 370.95$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.02 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 50c | 336.96$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.42 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 49c | 252.93$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.55 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 44c | 241.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…db25backed Over | 25c | 231.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 49c | 213.06$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.66 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 21c | 210.63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.65 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 19c | 175.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Over | 46c | 164$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Under | 34c | 157.85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Over | 55c | 156.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.21 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 33c | 145.42$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked Under | 56c | 120.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 18c | 114.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 33c | 104.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 39c | 103.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 69c | 99.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 69c | 84.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 33c | 72.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e6…b9f9backed Under | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.70per pick | 31cpaid | +228%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 68.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 17c | 59.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 32c | 58.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 33c | 58.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 73c | 54.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 59c | 51.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 66c | 47.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Under | 43c | 34.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 41c | 29.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Under | 49c | 28.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Under | 49c | 22.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…e29bbacked Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Khaleej Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Khaleej Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Khaleej Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.