Asian League · resolved market
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde1313848229799cbe50bd2d34ed4adc91c6008a5dcafb0fb57f238d42849a3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 5,032$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.5 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf07…e601backed Yes | 49c | 2,114$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.84 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 58c | 1,962$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.36 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 49c | 841.4$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 37c | 700.48$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.3 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed Yes | 55c | 609.87$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 63c | 573$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.99 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 35c | 326.74$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.36 | 283 | 32.5%92 W · 191 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6785…98c3backed Yes | 57c | 302.51$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 40c | 299.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.79 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Yes | 29c | 258$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…dc37backed Yes | 65c | 233.2$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 51c | 190$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 81 | 19.8%16 W · 65 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 174.16$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.44 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 63c | 155$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 65c | 117.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 63c | 114.28$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed No | 43c | 98.65$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe91c…317ebacked No | 62c | 94.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 53c | 92.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…cc6bbacked No | 69c | 89.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed No | 72c | 69.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 30c | 68.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 64c | 61.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.14 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 29c | 59.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed No | 40c | 47.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 42.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 38c | 36.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f3…5c66backed No | 71c | 30.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed No | 38c | 28.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.93 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Khaleej Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Fateh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Khaleej Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Khaleej Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Fateh Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.