TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,603 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x098c…1c67backed Under31c11,679$3,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,601.981,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0775…b0c5backed Under35c5,982$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.2325547.8%122 W · 133 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95044047.5%209 W · 231 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Over74c4,824$3,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.8560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc45…e966backed Over68c4,412$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed Over68c3,878$2,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.9521154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under29c2,505$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.7550848.4%246 W · 262 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Under11c1,641$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7410749.5%53 W · 54 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Under34c1,581$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.8685746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Under33c1,210$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.344335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc740…522fbacked Over68c1,199$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.761070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe02f…3d4cbacked Over79c1,106$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.2410652.8%56 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1dd…e4a3backed Over72c1,100$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under33c1,014$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.491,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Under26c1,007$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.762317.4%4 W · 19 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-66.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Under32c951.51$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.2843442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Under32c752.87$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.924252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf83b…55ebbacked Over67c709.74$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.21366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Over66c582.33$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9932457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Over68c497$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0439749.1%195 W · 202 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc040…78f6backed Over67c456.3$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.031546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over68c439.56$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.6649346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Under3c393.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8835054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked Under26c388$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8811244.6%50 W · 62 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over67c375.46$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.930255.6%168 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Over67c340.3$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.316344.8%73 W · 90 L-12.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1e09…a4edbacked Under35c323.88$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3621759%128 W · 89 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Under30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010937.6%41 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…a879backed Over66c282.69$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1121028.1%59 W · 151 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57f6…fed6backed Under19c274.6$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick50cpaid-46.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd27…4721backed Over67c261.78$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.395950.8%30 W · 29 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under33c248.92$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.1412035.8%43 W · 77 L-12.6wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Under30c217.38$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.337247.2%34 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xb373…c00fbacked Over67c206.96$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb88…41b0backed Under22c201.05$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4513857.2%79 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Under6c200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211316.8%19 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8050646%233 W · 273 L+2.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under25c195.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.321,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x91d5…4ab2backed Over66c189.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.65244.2%23 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Under31c179.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.864146.5%298 W · 343 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Under18c167.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.953923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid-33.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd62d…02ccbacked Over63c160$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.953955.1%297 W · 242 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa596…ce69backed Over68c157.32$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.348156.8%46 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f59…3a50backed Over70c154.34$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5715155.6%84 W · 67 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x143c…88b9backed Over68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4827848.2%134 W · 144 L-11.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7044…2eb6backed Under40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033857.1%193 W · 145 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed Over67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2536752%191 W · 176 L-18.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd54…3ffebacked Over68c148$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.361127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-44.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4694…b6b2backed Over68c147.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.144242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xedde…7753backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0865…81d3backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.063154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb598…7d52backed Over68c145.97$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.71450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Under30c133.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4059647.7%284 W · 312 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfae5…0ddcbacked Over66c129.97$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0912324.4%30 W · 93 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-30.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433a…38e5backed Over64c120$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.26946.4%32 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Over66c107.8$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6529240.8%119 W · 173 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xde6e…7fa3backed Over69c107.28$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5828552.6%150 W · 135 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf2d…e660backed Under34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Under34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3412333.3%41 W · 82 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x646f…6976backed Over67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344450%22 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed Over67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3326865.7%176 W · 92 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d75…cf0bbacked Under10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101766.3%11 W · 165 L-0.5wins0.00per pick7cpaid-46.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c0…77babacked Under33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4b…ee55backed Over67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ead…5c81backed Over72c89.05$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.011050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c89…3202backed Over68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.244938.8%19 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f5e…81ebbacked Over68c82.35$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.351353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick66cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Over68c80.88$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8810240.2%41 W · 61 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under33c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.41,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Over68c76.07$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3426754.7%146 W · 121 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6de…6f5ebacked Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.635437%20 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1311…a3abbacked Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532560%15 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…92e5backed Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.532152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12fe…96a8backed Over68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.538956.2%50 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed Over69c72.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.561150.6%309 W · 302 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa20…e7e3backed Over70c71.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.642245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e23…5531backed Over55c58.33$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.481070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed Over70c55.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.717352.1%38 W · 35 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3128…e9ccbacked Over68c54.78$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.531566.7%10 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6b6…80adbacked Over74c53.86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.865259.6%31 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7280…65d2backed Under34c51.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.46728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-51.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over71c51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6243947.6%209 W · 230 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c42…e05cbacked Over70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd641…0635backed Over66c49.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed5…8165backed Under40c49.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034844.8%156 W · 192 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…e215backed Over68c44.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.162560%15 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick70cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Over68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1268253.5%365 W · 317 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x932e…6f5abacked Over68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.121758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over59c42.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4130247%142 W · 160 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c79…8fffbacked Over30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2816143.5%70 W · 91 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over70c39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.73,13133.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L-150.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f6…c3a1backed Over68c36.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Over66c36.82$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6824356%136 W · 107 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…7bfbbacked Over68c31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0947…f948backed Over68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.65961%36 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48d4…1e34backed Over67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.93756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05f1…1744backed Over67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.853636.1%13 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ba7…6c85backed Over69c29.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.212560%15 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb182…ab4abacked Over68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.414070%28 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.