TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Weibo Gamingof Anyone's Legend, Weibo Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,104 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfc04…f726backed Weibo Gaming66c3,010$1,999 inWon+$1,010.9475738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Anyone's Legend34c2,066$699 inLost-$699.4282554.8%452 W · 373 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Anyone's Legend33c1,220$403 inLost-$402.644335.4%157 W · 286 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c8…9349backed Anyone's Legend35c1,038$363 inLost-$363.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Weibo Gaming65c1,000$650 inWon+$35048440.5%196 W · 288 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Anyone's Legend29c745.31$218 inLost-$218.061,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Weibo Gaming70c711.27$500 inWon+$211.2715731.8%50 W · 107 L-15.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x73e8…7921backed Weibo Gaming69c564.29$389 inWon+$175.295667.9%38 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Anyone's Legend30c500$150 inLost-$15018839.9%75 W · 113 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Anyone's Legend31c499.99$155 inLost-$1551,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Weibo Gaming70c362.04$255 inWon+$106.8613154.2%71 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b1b…afcfbacked Weibo Gaming71c335.96$237 inWon+$98.93450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed Weibo Gaming67c300$201 inWon+$9921154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe86a…e272backed Anyone's Legend30c150$45 inLost-$4524649.2%121 W · 125 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf106…e879backed Anyone's Legend32c124$40 inLost-$39.922825%7 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed Anyone's Legend31c100.88$31 inLost-$31.271,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Weibo Gaming68c88.67$60 inWon+$28.377247.2%34 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+14.6%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x1351…bebcbacked Anyone's Legend29c88.38$26 inLost-$25.6312450%62 W · 62 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a51…f1b7backed Weibo Gaming69c72.46$50 inWon+$22.464052.5%21 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8717…7bfbbacked Weibo Gaming71c70.42$50 inWon+$20.422166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d4…13a2backed Weibo Gaming65c70.42$46 inWon+$24.657839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03c4…6f4ebacked Anyone's Legend32c68.81$22 inLost-$2224453.3%130 W · 114 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed Anyone's Legend31c63.35$20 inLost-$19.6412341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Weibo Gaming65c50$33 inWon+$17.553954.7%295 W · 244 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…40b0backed Weibo Gaming68c44.12$30 inWon+$14.1217060.6%103 W · 67 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Anyone's Legend37c43.68$16 inLost-$16.031,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01ad…d823backed Anyone's Legend42c35.94$15 inLost-$158555.3%47 W · 38 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+50.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1941…48e0backed Weibo Gaming71c20$14 inWon+$5.82846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0235…4224backed Weibo Gaming68c20$14 inWon+$6.42454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.