Fifa International · resolved market
Bosnia and Herzegovina leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d776cc6b97a0c3a256cbba530ffda59e51c22b1aa234256c7efa045fcaf3712
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $466,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $519,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 11c | 51,605$5,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,744.93 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ede…46e8backed Yes | 73c | 50,000$36,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,410.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0da…1f80backed Yes | 11c | 45,552$5,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,010.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked Yes | 10c | 30,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.98 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Yes | 11c | 28,253$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.83 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…3601backed Yes | 12c | 20,734$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.05 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0508…25bebacked No | 25c | 9,650$2,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,267 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.38per pick | 39cpaid | +795.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 8,481$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.08 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 11c | 7,100$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…6002backed Yes | 11c | 6,364$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa62…45cbbacked No | 18c | 4,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +685.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…a024backed No | 17c | 4,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,340 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +7.7wins | +0.43per pick | 19cpaid | +216.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xee32…c685backed No | 17c | 4,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,340 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 12c | 3,356$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb750…c6ebbacked No | 18c | 3,322$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.39 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +8.5wins | +0.65per pick | 20cpaid | +308.8%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x198d…13bfbacked No | 23c | 3,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde3c…6ea6backed No | 23c | 3,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +7.3wins | +0.41per pick | 15cpaid | +300.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…33e1backed No | 20c | 3,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +12.6wins | +0.25per pick | 14cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…186bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,852$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 17.7%22 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…655fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 10c | 2,500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes | 6c | 2,400$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…8d35backed No | 17c | 2,200$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.29per pick | 16cpaid | +153.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 5c | 2,171$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.93 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b98…5beabacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked No | 18c | 1,800$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 8c | 1,755$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.47 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…6c92backed Yes | 11c | 1,518$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64eb…6bcabacked No | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +5.5wins | +0.40per pick | 18cpaid | +207.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd342…4540backed No | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +159.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 13c | 1,215$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb70…be84backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 2c | 908.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 43c | 900$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.1 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…2341backed No | 15c | 800$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +88%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x990d…e207backed No | 17c | 720$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.8 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed Yes | 11c | 690.91$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 11c | 668.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…bcd5backed No | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69cf…6273backed No | 20c | 600$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 15cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…bd11backed Yes | 12c | 583.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked No | 19c | 529.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.5 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…49bcbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe06b…def9backed Yes | 11c | 390.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 6c | 348.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…14afbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked No | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…e00abacked Yes | 6c | 283.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 7c | 271.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc7…4e28backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48bc…e43abacked Yes | 11c | 205.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b36…683fbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 35c | 194.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.12 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 7c | 169$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked Yes | 7c | 160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Yes | 15c | 150.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…2c00backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 11c | 145.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1,019 | 31.6%322 W · 697 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…e92abacked Yes | 11c | 132.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e5…dd13backed Yes | 11c | 125$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7b7ebacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 11c | 121$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 11c | 115$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 10c | 110$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…c52cbacked Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0840…f4d9backed Yes | 11c | 106.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c00fbacked Yes | 11c | 99.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 11c | 94.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina leading at halftime?this page
- United States leading at halftime?Yes won
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.