Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c542edef100ad5e84b08549d670f8ce653c2334c2e9b9c4b9efbc56c0715f24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $430,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $425,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $430,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 206 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 59c | 82,774$48,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,226.51 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0da…1f80backed Yes | 35c | 64,440$22,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,607.34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 66c | 56,845$37,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,365.98 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 21,381$7,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,672.77 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 20,619$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.73 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 11,853$7,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,177.08 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 11,536$7,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,137.1 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 11,196$4,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,672.24 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 10,332$6,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,647.28 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 66c | 8,607$5,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.08 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 36c | 8,333$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 35c | 6,409$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.65 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked No | 63c | 5,848$3,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 65c | 5,652$3,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.17 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked No | 68c | 5,511$3,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.59 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked Yes | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 31c | 5,273$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.01 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 66c | 4,891$3,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.34 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 65c | 4,332$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.73 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 60c | 3,741$2,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.46 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Yes | 36c | 3,002$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.59 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 64c | 2,842$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.54 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Yes | 38c | 2,818$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.34 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 45c | 2,358$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.62 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 31c | 2,221$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.01 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 69c | 1,962$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.78 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 66c | 1,637$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.63 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,598$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.28 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Yes | 54c | 1,566$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 177 | 51.4%91 W · 86 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 65c | 1,536$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.72 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 1c | 1,491$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 63c | 1,478$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.52 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 32c | 1,319$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.82 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,265$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.62 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Yes | 41c | 1,259$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Yes | 43c | 1,221$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.65 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 67c | 1,188$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd6…bb32backed Yes | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf381…40c2backed Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 180 | 27.8%50 W · 130 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 15c | 993.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.97 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed Yes | 57c | 972.11$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.46 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 58c | 955.12$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 940.55$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.83 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 30c | 900$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 33c | 894.65$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.3 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…fb7bbacked Yes | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 18c | 853.22$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.86 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 54c | 830.6$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.39 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 27c | 701.23$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.75 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Yes | 47c | 637.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…bcd5backed Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 65c | 600$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Yes | 3c | 600$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69cf…6273backed No | 16c | 600$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 15cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 18c | 596.57$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.19 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b9…a053backed Yes | 37c | 583.76$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Yes | 47c | 572$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.84 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…c332backed Yes | 35c | 570$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 203 | 34%69 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 69c | 566.42$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.1 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 59c | 540$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.6 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742e…99b2backed No | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 230 | 22.6%52 W · 178 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Yes | 51c | 464.69$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.45 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde57…7499backed Yes | 72c | 433.89$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.32 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0239…9ba7backed Yes | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 40cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 50c | 415.09$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.86 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…93d2backed Yes | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…6541backed Yes | 49c | 393.98$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 65c | 384$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 65c | 384$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 65c | 384$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Yes | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e49…f1afbacked No | 50c | 337.05$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.94 | 455 | 36.9%168 W · 287 L | -26.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed No | 41c | 326.83$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.83 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…9e97backed No | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.09 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 65c | 300.05$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Yes | 34c | 296.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.98 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…5876backed Yes | 73c | 273.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 78c | 270$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Yes | 38c | 263.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 15c | 263.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 23c | 260.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.36 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…317abacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d4…453bbacked Yes | 41c | 243.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 51c | 242$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.42 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 29c | 235.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…316abacked Yes | 35c | 226.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb37…f9bbbacked Yes | 45c | 221.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370a…cd77backed Yes | 41c | 219.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 35c | 210.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Draw at halftime?this page
- Bosnia and Herzegovina leading at halftime?No won
- United States leading at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.